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Oakville
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-29 20:05:31
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Anand, Anita


Incumbent:

Anita Anand

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

120923
119649

45595
43804

78.27 km²
1545.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Anita Anand 3026546.30%
Terence Young 2556139.10%
Jerome Adamo 49287.50%
James Elwick 37045.70%
JD Meaney 7981.20%
Sushila Pereira 1450.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

John Oliver 3195649.40%
Terence Young ** 2749742.50%
Che Marville 38305.90%
David Doel 14202.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3006851.65%
811713.94%
1789030.73%
21403.68%
Other 00.00%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Oakville
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Stephen Crawford 2483743.67%
Kevin Flynn * 2032735.74%
Lesley Sprague 942416.57%
Emily De Sousa 19863.49%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

2471749.40%
1892137.81%
39947.98%
18873.77%
Other 5181.04%


03/08/20 Marco Ricci
174.114.237.78
It's true that there is Conservative strength in this riding and the Conservatives could be competitive here again in a future eleection. But at the moment, the Liberals and Anita Anand are probably favoured. The Liberals are well ahead of the Conservatives in the federal Ontario polls and Anita Anand has a high-profile as the cabinet minister in charge of COVID vaccine procurement. She also demonstrated her strength in 2019 by beating former provincial Liberal MPP Kevin Flynn for the nomination, and then beating former Conservative MP Terence Young for the seat. Anand is off to a good start.
28/07/20 Stevo
164.177.56.217
I'm not sure why MF believes a 7-point margin is so insurmountable. Oakville has been ‘educated’ and ‘affluent’ since forever and it hasn't stopped the seat from flipping between the two largest parties, federally or provincially. This isn't Yonge & Bloor - plenty of educated people here disagree with the current woke direction of the Liberal Party.
30/05/21 seasaw
99.225.229.135
MF has it all wrong, this was never a safe Tory seat before, nor is it a safe Liberal seat now. This is one of the most bellwether ridings in the country. Since 1968, this riding has elected only 2 opposition members, once in 1980, when Tory Otto Jelinek won it, and once in '06 when Bonnie Brown a Liberal won it, but wait, the boundaries were different then, in Jelinek's year, there were rural parts that he won and under current boundaries he would've lost, and in Brown's year, they were areas that now belong to another riding that she did well and under current boundaries she would've lost. While a Liberal call may be right today, we don't know what's going to happen in the future
27/05/21 MF
65.92.13.223
The most ‘establishmentarian’ of the 905 ridings, over the last generation Oakville has gone from a traditional Tory seat to more of a safe seat for the Liberals with the liberalization of affluent and educated voters and in line with the GTA trend. In spite of the backlash against Anita Anand by Conservative partisans, she should have little problem being re-elected.



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