Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ottawa Centre
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:28:53
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Clemenhagen, Carol

McKenna, Catherine


Incumbent:

Catherine McKenna

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

118038
113619

66363
59438

32.19 km²
3667.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Catherine McKenna ** 3839148.70%
Emilie Taman 2291629.00%
Carol Clemenhagen 992012.60%
Angela Keller-Herzog 58377.40%
Merylee Sevilla 7200.90%
Coreen Corcoran 3600.50%
Shelby Bertrand 2070.30%
Marie-Chantal Leriche 1980.30%
Chris G Jones 1770.20%
Stuart Ryan 1110.10%
Giang Ha Thu Vo 650.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Catherine Mary McKenna 3221142.70%
Paul Dewar ** 2909838.50%
Damian Konstantinakos 1094314.50%
Tom Milroy 22463.00%
Dean T. Harris 5510.70%
Conrad Lukawski 1670.20%
John Andrew Omowole Akpata 1600.20%
Stuart Ryan 1240.20%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1399221.63%
3373852.16%
1301520.12%
32585.04%
Other 6861.06%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Ottawa Centre
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Joel Harden 2967546.08%
Yasir Naqvi * 2111132.78%
Colleen Mccleery 1032716.03%
Cherie Wong 22663.52%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

2768952.02%
967818.18%
1089420.47%
41637.82%
Other 8081.52%


21/07/20 Marco Ricci
174.114.237.78
Former Liberal MPP Yasir Naqvi, who represented Ottawa Centre provincially for many years, has expressed interest in running for the federal Ottawa Centre nomination to replace Catherine McKenna. If he receives the nomination, he will have a good chance of winning the seat.
https://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/yasir-naqvi-wants-to-represent-ottawa-centre-for-the-liberals-again-this-time-federally
28/06/21 ME
45.72.235.173
Catherine McKinnon is leaving politics and the riding is now open..
11/05/21 Ottawa 99
69.196.169.164
Je pense que la situation dans cette circonscription est comparable à celle des élections provinciales de 2011 ou de 2014. Dans les prochaines années, la popularité du PLC va probablement finir par prendre une chute en Ontario, ce qui permettra au NPD de reprendre cette circonscription, potentiellement très facilement. Mais cette fois-ci, je pense que McKenna sera presque certainement réélu.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster