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Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-22 10:57:15
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Gallant, Cheryl


Incumbent:

Cheryl Gallant

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

103495
102537

50763
43311

11464.88 km²
9.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Cheryl Gallant ** 3108052.70%
Ruben Marini 1153219.60%
Eileen Jones-Whyte 878614.90%
Ian Pineau 32305.50%
David Ainsworth 14632.50%
Dan Criger 11251.90%
Dheerendra Kumar 9171.60%
Robert Cherrin 3580.60%
Stefan Klietsch 2660.50%
Jonathan Davis 2000.30%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Cheryl Gallant ** 2619545.80%
Jeff Lehoux 1866632.70%
Hector Clouthier 630011.00%
Dan McCarthy 48938.60%
Stefan Klietsch 11051.90%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2746253.43%
690313.43%
654512.73%
8771.71%
Other 961118.70%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

John Yakabuski * 3335069.19%
Ethel Lavalley 806616.73%
Jackie Agnew 47019.75%
Anna Dolan 14362.98%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

789719.11%
2524161.07%
597814.46%
13373.23%
Other 8812.13%


31/07/20 Stevo
164.177.56.217
Along with Scott Reid, one of two Alliance victors in Ontario in 2000. Cheryl Gallant has this seat for as long as she wishes. It helps too that she's no longer the media grabber that she used to be.
20/05/21 Craig
130.18.104.120
Cheryl Gallant may be very unpopular among Liberal and NDP supporters in urban areas (and even many Red Tories who have wanted her out of the caucus) but she's held Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke for over 20 years. No matter what she does, it doesn't hurt her at all here. Being on the right of the party also insulates herself from the PPC.
A very socially conservative riding that also has a tendency to break against the tide; the median voter here is far to the right of the median Ontario voter so she should have the seat as long as she wants it. As long as the Liberals keep focusing on urban issues and positions that have majority support among them, they can forget about winning here.



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