Ainsworth, David
	Gallant, Cheryl
	Klietsch, Stefan
	Lariviere, Michael
	Mills, Cyndi
	Primeau, Jodie
Incumbent:
	Cheryl Gallant

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			103495 102537 50763 43311 11464.88 km² 9.00/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Cheryl Gallant **	31080	52.70%
	Ruben Marini	11532	19.60%
	Eileen Jones-Whyte	8786	14.90%
	Ian Pineau	3230	5.50%
	David Ainsworth	1463	2.50%
	Dan Criger	1125	1.90%
	Dheerendra Kumar	917	1.60%
	Robert Cherrin	358	0.60%
	Stefan Klietsch	266	0.50%
	Jonathan Davis	200	0.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Cheryl Gallant **	26195	45.80%
	Jeff Lehoux	18666	32.70%
	Hector Clouthier	6300	11.00%
	Dan McCarthy	4893	8.60%
	Stefan Klietsch	1105	1.90%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		27462	53.43%
		6903	13.43%
		6545	12.73%
		877	1.71%
Other		9611	18.70%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	John Yakabuski *	33350	69.19%
	Ethel Lavalley	8066	16.73%
	Jackie Agnew	4701	9.75%
	Anna Dolan	1436	2.98%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		7897	19.11%
		25241	61.07%
		5978	14.46%
		1337	3.23%
Other		881	2.13%

	07/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Cheryl Gallant was first elected in this riding in 2000, has never generated much positive press outside the riding yet wins the riding itself by large margins. Just over 50 % last time , perhaps lower than expected due to the high number of votes for fringe and independent candidates last time. Outside of Pembroke the riding has few urban polls so a difficult riding for ndp or liberals to get traction in now days.
	05/09/21	Wildflower 172.83.175.119
I think the afghan issue is a problem in this riding because of the military base
	05/09/21	172.83.175.119
Chretien loyalist Mac Harb held this for a decade for the Libs and former Ottawa Mayor Marion's son Paul (R.I.P.) held it for the NDP. MacEwen's campaign has been effective and competent, yes, yet Paul won as much for Marion's legacy as for any NDP policy. Naqvi's biz rep and the U of O (mostly Liberal) block of votes will see him through this time around. If no workable minority governing arrangement is established, though, expect NDP to take the riding in the election that quickly follows.
	09/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Re Gallant as ‘media-grabber’: she's probably been overshadowed by the adjacent Sloan/Hillier element as of late, but it's not like she's changed or anything. I don't know how RNP became Crazification Central in Ontario--sooner or later, whether it be through Petawawa military cosmopolitanism, or Arnprior's Ottawa-satelliteism, or Toronto expatriates seeking out the Madawaska, there's got to be *some* formula for diluting the crazy. (And it's not just Gallant; it's also through the insane number of candidates, including *four* independents, trying their luck in '19--as if Hec Clouthier had been blown to pieces.)
	31/07/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
Along with Scott Reid, one of two Alliance victors in Ontario in 2000. Cheryl Gallant has this seat for as long as she wishes. It helps too that she's no longer the media grabber that she used to be.
	20/05/21	Craig 130.18.104.120
Cheryl Gallant may be very unpopular among Liberal and NDP supporters in urban areas (and even many Red Tories who have wanted her out of the caucus) but she's held Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke for over 20 years. No matter what she does, it doesn't hurt her at all here. Being on the right of the party also insulates herself from the PPC. A very socially conservative riding that also has a tendency to break against the tide; the median voter here is far to the right of the median Ontario voter so she should have the seat as long as she wants it. As long as the Liberals keep focusing on urban issues and positions that have majority support among them, they can forget about winning here.