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Richmond Hill
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-03 11:19:59
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Menegakis, Costas


Incumbent:

Majid Jowhari

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

110177
108658

41991
40214

39.92 km²
2760.00/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Majid Jowhari ** 2180443.50%
Costas Menegakis 2159243.10%
Adam DeVita 44258.80%
Ichha Kohli 16953.40%
Igor Tvorogov 5071.00%
Otto Wevers 1260.30%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Majid Jowhari 2303246.90%
Michael Parsa 2127543.30%
Adam DeVita 39508.00%
Gwendolyn Veenema 8561.70%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1852143.55%
724417.03%
1515035.62%
16123.79%
Other 40.01%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Richmond Hill
   (95.91% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Thornhill
   (4.09% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Daisy Wai 2222451.24%
Reza Moridi * 1210827.92%
Marco Coletta 749017.27%
Walter Bauer 12482.88%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1730548.16%
1284235.74%
405511.28%
11663.25%
Other 5671.58%


30/07/20 Stevo
165.225.77.145
Interesting how Richmond Hill has remained very close despite Liberal GTA landslides. It's still the same Asian/Jewish/Iranian/Anglo mix it always was, so I'm not sure what demographic explanation there might be to explain it. Differs markedly from the Liberal automaton ridings over in Peel region. Expect significant CPC resources to flow in here if the national race remains within a few points.
30/05/21 seasaw
99.225.229.135
Costas Menegakis was a good MP who lost his seat in the change election of 2015. Majid Jowhari won a close race in 2015, and barely squeeked by in 2019, and BTW, elections Canada is looking at the last election results. Jowhari has been a very bad MP, and the fact that he put his name in for Canada boycotting Israel, and wanting closer relationship with the Iranian government, won't help him any in this riding. Even if the CPC loses the election, they'll take this seat.



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