Anber, David
	Duncan, Eric
	Kennedy, Trevor
	Moquin, Denis
	Warnock, Jeanie
Incumbent:
	Eric Duncan

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			103320 100913 45797 43513 2666.41 km² 38.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Eric Duncan	28976	53.90%
	Heather Megill	13767	25.60%
	Kelsey Catherine Schmitz	7674	14.30%
	Raheem Aman	2126	4.00%
	Sabile Trimm	1168	2.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Guy Lauzon **	27091	51.10%
	Bernadette Clement	20452	38.50%
	Patrick Burger	4332	8.20%
	Elaine Kennedy	1191	2.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		29538	62.12%
		8313	17.48%
		8510	17.90%
		1038	2.18%
Other		151	0.32%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Jim Mcdonell *	26780	61.51%
	Marc Benoit	9416	21.63%
	Heather Megill	5386	12.37%
	Elaine Kennedy	1596	3.67%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		9250	23.20%
		20624	51.72%
		8336	20.90%
		1067	2.68%
Other		602	1.51%

	14/09/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
One of the surprises post 2019 election was the rise of Eric Duncan within the cpc caucus. Who was virtually unknown before but most who follow Ottawa politics would be familiar with him by now. The riding has been cpc since 2004. Also odd former liberal candidate appointed to the senate as an independent despite running as a liberal here.
	31/08/21	GritBusters 199.7.157.92
Over the past decades now, the Liberals have shed too much of the Cornwall vote to the NDP and too much of the rural vote to the Tories to be viable in this riding. Consequently, this riding will stay Tory barring a divided right or some other significant partisan realignment in federal politics.
	30/06/21	Negative Inference 45.41.168.91
If the Liberal thinks they have ANY chance of picking this up, her worship would have stay put and not accept an appointment to the upper chamber. Plus, Duncan as an openly gay conservative MP from outside of the urban centres is too good of a symbol for the party not to protect. Easy hold.
	23/06/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
Seems strange to me that the Conservative vote proved more resilient here in Stormont than in Leeds-Grenville the past two elections. In any case, doesn't appear that the conservative strength in rural Eastern Ontario that began with the Alliance in 2000 is abating.
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Yeah, Bernadette Clement in the Senate adds an interesting twist to the local Liberal picture, even if it has (and will have) little to do with actual *electoral* politics--but had *she* decided to give it another electoral go, the notion of a SDSG race btw/an openly gay Conservative and a female POC Liberal (even if the former was heavily favoured) would certainly have thrown a lot of people for a loop. As disarming a representative as Eric Duncan is, though, *somebody* in Cornwall has got to figure out a formula for not being an eternal go-with-the-flow sitting duck for those Putin-esque Conservative margins in Dundas County. (And much as in Leeds-Grenville, nothing-to-lose ‘voting one's conscience’ led to a surprisingly high NDP figure in '19--come to think of it, Cornwall *is* NDP-esque, and voted for the party provincially in the 70s. But now we're *really* getting ahead of ourselves.)
	06/08/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
The Liberal campaign strategy of making the Conservatives appear socially conservative is not going to yield much here. Indeed, the gay conservative MP here has been quite vocal in the house of commons regarding various social shortcomings of the Liberals. Guaranteed CPC hold