Freeland, Chrystia
	Garvie, Drew
	Grant, Tim
	Kent, David
	Robicheau, Nicole
	Taylor, Steven
Incumbent:
	Chrystia Freeland

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			104311 98605 58023 51203 13.60 km² 7672.30/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Chrystia Freeland **	29652	51.70%
	Melissa Jean-Baptiste Vajda	12573	21.90%
	Helen-Claire Tingling	9342	16.30%
	Tim Grant	4861	8.50%
	Aran Lockwood	510	0.90%
	Liz White	159	0.30%
	Drew Garvie	143	0.20%
	Karin Brothers	124	0.20%
	Steve Rutchinski	27	0.00%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Chrystia Freeland **	27849	49.80%
	Jennifer Hollett	15988	28.60%
	Karim Jivraj	9790	17.50%
	Nick Wright	1641	2.90%
	Jesse Waslowski	233	0.40%
	Simon Luisi	126	0.20%
	Drew Garvie	125	0.20%
	David Berlin	122	0.20%
	Steve Rutchinski	51	0.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		9393	20.13%
		20452	43.83%
		14266	30.57%
		2175	4.66%
Other		379	0.81%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Trinity-Spadina    (68.73% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Toronto Centre    (31.27% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Jessica Bell	24537	49.66%
	Jo-Ann Davis	10898	22.06%
	Gillian Smith	10431	21.11%
	Tim Grant	2652	5.37%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		19085	48.10%
		7311	18.43%
		9629	24.27%
		2801	7.06%
Other		852	2.15%

	20/08/21	Mark 24.246.81.55
Chrystia Freeland is deputy PM, star candidate, and will be campaigning directly with Trudeau nationwide. Her seat is safe, and the other parties will avoid this one.
	19/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Chrystia Freeland is favoured to hold the riding as things stand now , perhaps the ndp do a bit better after there surprise provincial win in same riding but likely to stay liberal.
	18/07/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
When it comes to Brahmin-ness, it's interesting how UniR has shaken out to be not so electorally different from Toronto-St. Paul's, in the end--the Lib share's only 2 1/2 points lower, and the NDP and CPC shares are yin-yanged lower-reaches versions of one another. Though I don't know whether that says more about where St. Paul's is going than about where UniR is going. There probably *will* be opposition effort by default, if only because the U of T presence means a lot of Jagmeet-high-polling millennials and post-millennials out there. But yeah; finance minister, Deputy PM and prospective prime ministerial successor. Hard to push *that* away.
	06/06/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
Easy win the for the Liberals. The PCs have some pockets of support in Yorkville and Rosedale, and the NDP in the Christie Pits and Harbord areas, but it won't be nearly enough to topple the Deputy PM.
	15/05/21	MF 65.92.13.223
Home to both the Annex and Rosedale (and of course, the University of Toronto), University-Rosedale is a ‘Brahmin Liberal’ riding through and through. It has the highest educational attainment of any riding in Canada (67% have university degrees, 31% have advanced degrees), and the highly educated are now one of the most reliable Liberal demographics. Chrystia Freeland fits the riding demographic well and like last time it's unlikely the other parties will put much effort in here.