Carle, Syl
	Chong, Michael
	Jahangir, Noor
	Lang, Melanie
	Zhu, Ran
Incumbent:
	Michael Chong

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			120981 115885 44629 43199 1487.86 km² 81.30/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Michael Chong **	33044	47.40%
	Lesley Barron	19777	28.40%
	Ralph Martin	8851	12.70%
	Andrew Bascombe	6499	9.30%
	Syl Carle	1509	2.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Michael Chong **	32482	50.90%
	Don Trant	23279	36.50%
	Anne Gajerski-Cauley	5321	8.30%
	Brent Allan Bouteiller	2547	4.00%
	Harvey Edward Anstey	183	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		35023	63.73%
		7121	12.96%
		8980	16.34%
		3518	6.40%
Other		315	0.57%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Wellington-Halton Hills    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Ted Arnott *	31659	54%
	Diane Ballantyne	14087	24.03%
	Jon Hurst	7492	12.78%
	Dave Rodgers	5066	8.64%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		14120	29.32%
		22450	46.61%
		6804	14.13%
		3550	7.37%
Other		1241	2.58%

	17/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Michael Chong has been mp for this riding since 2004 , been some growth in the southern portion of the riding since then either way would expect him to hold this one.
	07/05/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
Michael Chong has won this riding since 2004, including the Trudeau wave in 2015. Yes, the demographics of the riding are changing, including more Liberal-inclined voters in the growing suburbs, but barring a CPC Kim Campbell level collapse, this will be a safe blue riding.
	08/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Chong's support softened in '19 (he was no longer majority); but the Libs softened a lot more--what happened is that it became Ontario's 5th best Green riding (and given its neighbours, including the fact that it surrounds Guelph riding, why not). One result of this is that the centres of Elora & Fergus ceased to be the ‘nodes of red’ they were in '15, as a lot of that energy leaked leftward--meanwhile, the Green dead zone of suburban Georgetown saw plenty of instances of Libs and CPC being jointly above par. And negligible hint of what lay beyond (Adam Van K's conquering of Milton, the thorough ethnoburbanizing Lib dominance of Brampton, etc). Though actually, given that adjacency, I wonder if there might be rumblings on the horizon from ‘Chong moderate’ vote-parkers who aren't on-board with the drift to the right of the CPC grassroots--not to the point of defeat; but the Halton Hills electoral map might wind up looking a lot ‘redder’...