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Wellington-Halton Hills
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-08 22:21:34
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Chong, Michael


Incumbent:

Michael Chong

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

120981
115885

44629
43199

1487.86 km²
81.30/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Michael Chong ** 3304447.40%
Lesley Barron 1977728.40%
Ralph Martin 885112.70%
Andrew Bascombe 64999.30%
Syl Carle 15092.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Michael Chong ** 3248250.90%
Don Trant 2327936.50%
Anne Gajerski-Cauley 53218.30%
Brent Allan Bouteiller 25474.00%
Harvey Edward Anstey 1830.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

3502363.73%
712112.96%
898016.34%
35186.40%
Other 3150.57%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Wellington-Halton Hills
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Ted Arnott * 3165954%
Diane Ballantyne 1408724.03%
Jon Hurst 749212.78%
Dave Rodgers 50668.64%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1412029.32%
2245046.61%
680414.13%
35507.37%
Other 12412.58%


07/05/21 Chris N
24.36.32.209
Michael Chong has won this riding since 2004, including the Trudeau wave in 2015. Yes, the demographics of the riding are changing, including more Liberal-inclined voters in the growing suburbs, but barring a CPC Kim Campbell level collapse, this will be a safe blue riding.



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