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York South-Weston
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-06-09 23:56:40
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Hussen, Ahmed

Mire, Hawa Y.


Incumbent:

Ahmed Hussen

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

116686
116606

47161
45009

24.81 km²
4702.50/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Ahmed Hussen ** 2597658.40%
Jasveen Rattan 841518.90%
Yafet Tewelde 775417.40%
Nicki Ward 16333.70%
Gerard Racine 6851.50%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Ahmed Hussen 2009346.00%
Mike Sullivan ** 1328130.40%
James Robinson 839919.20%
Stephen Lepone 10412.40%
John Johnson 8922.00%


2011 Results (redistributed)

855924.32%
1412240.12%
1154232.79%
9752.77%
Other 00.00%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   York South-Weston
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction

Faisal Hassan 1345536.07%
Mark Demontis 1229032.95%
Laura Albanese * 1037927.83%
Grad Murray 9462.54%


2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)

1566947.85%
368711.26%
1220037.25%
7972.43%
Other 3951.21%


28/07/20 A.S.
64.114.255.114
A far cry from Alan Tonks before him, Hussen (particularly in cabinet) has come to epitomize the big-tent left-friendly cosmopolitanism of the Justin-era 416 Liberals--the perfect symbol of that being how the NDP was unexpectedly relegated to 3rd place in '19. The most I can say is...I'm not expecting a repeat of that 3rd.
04/06/21 seasaw
99.225.229.135
Since 1974 when Ursula Appolini defeated the then NDP leader David Lewis, the Liberals have only lost here twice, once to Liberal turned Independent incumbent, and once in the disaster of 2011. Don't think anything will change this time. Liberal hold



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