Anderson, Raatib
	de Dovitiis, Matias
	Nugent, Christine
	Sgro, Judy
	Shah, Rinku
	Tibbin, Unblind
Incumbent:
	Judy Sgro

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			108037 108198 39013 36159 30.56 km² 3535.50/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Judy Sgro **	23187	61.10%
	Maria Augimeri	7198	19.00%
	Iftikhar Choudry	6164	16.20%
	Mike Schmitz	804	2.10%
	Ania Krosinska	402	1.10%
	Stenneth Smith	114	0.30%
	Christine Nugent	89	0.20%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Judy Sgro **	23995	66.90%
	Kerry Vandenberg	7228	20.20%
	Darnel Harris	3851	10.70%
	Keith Jarrett	584	1.60%
	Christine Nugent	201	0.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		6122	22.08%
		7721	27.85%
		13030	47.00%
		450	1.62%
Other		401	1.45%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
York West    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
2018 Provincial Results - 2018 Prediction
	Tom Rakocevic	11573	37.42%
	Cyma Musarat	9367	30.29%
	Deanna Sgro	8642	27.94%
	Kirsten J. Bennett	485	1.57%
2014 Provincial Results (redistributed)
		11907	46.71%
		2794	10.96%
		9997	39.21%
		418	1.64%
Other		378	1.48%

	19/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Judy Sgro is likely to hold the riding but certainly wasn’t expecting her to run again as she’s been an mp since 2000 . at some point you have to let someone new have an opportunity to represent the riding .
	28/07/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
The more proper comparison that Kim Campbell would be Kathleen Wynne; and in the '18 provincial disaster, Sgro's daughter *did* finish 3rd. We're far from that likelihood, though--but certainly, Sgro's ‘hacky’ enough to be targetable in case things *really* go to pot for the Libs. Still, the NDP threw the best they'd got (former Councillor Maria Augimeri) in '19, and didn't come anywhere close--then again, in *that* election, they were probably prepared for something even Audrey/Alexa-level worse...
	09/06/21	Chris N 24.36.32.209
This has historically been one of the safest federal Liberal seats in Ontario. It would take a Kim Campbell-level collapse for the Liberals to lose this riding next election.