Dwyer, Madelaine
	Eyolfson, Doug
	Morantz, Marty
	Parks, Vanessa
	Van Hussen, Angela
Incumbent:
	Marty Morantz

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			82574 81864 35004 34328 205.03 km² 402.70/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Marty Morantz	18815	40.70%
	Doug Eyolfson **	16398	35.50%
	Ken St. George	6556	14.20%
	Kristin Lauhn-Jensen	2178	4.70%
	Steven Fletcher	1975	4.30%
	Melissa Penner	166	0.40%
	Brian Ho	140	0.30%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Doug Eyolfson	24531	52.00%
	Steven Fletcher **	18408	39.00%
	Tom Paulley	2842	6.00%
	Kevin Nichols	1376	2.90%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		23264	57.56%
		8134	20.12%
		7433	18.39%
		1587	3.93%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	19/09/21	Dr Bear 216.154.38.184
The polling numbers from the Prairies have the CPC down about six points relative to 2019. The Liberals are down about 1-2 points. Looks like much of that CPC loss went to the PPC. I’m not so sure this is going to be a CPC hold.
	09/09/21	TS 142.160.115.183
This will be a close riding but its fortunes will follow the success or failure of the national campaign which, thus far, are quit positive and with the dislike of the Liberal's calling the election when they did I give this one to the CPC with about the same margin as last round.
	08/09/21	George 104.232.37.85
Mainstreet from August shows a tie https://ipolitics.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/CharleswoodSt.-JamesAssiniboiaHeadingley-iPolitics-22August2021.pdf
	21/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Essentially a rematch of the 2019 election as both current cpc mp Marty Morantz and former liberal mp Doug Eyolfson are running again minus former mp Steven Fletcher who had ran for the peoples party. both Trudeau and O’toole campaigned in the riding in first week of the campaign. Personally I feel western Canada still leans more conservative as things stand now and this riding stays cpc as they have an incumbent who’s well known and it had been cpc in the past for a number of years.
	21/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
A rematch of MP vs ex-MP. A win this narrow in an at-large ScheerCon circumstance when the thumb was on the CPC scale in the Prairies doesn't necessarily bode well for Morantz; neither does the fact that his winning share was less than 2 points above '15's losing share. *However*, he also had a right-vote-split situation in ex-MP Steven Fletcher running for PPC--though Fletcher ran a poor 5th and behind the Greens; plus given overall circumstances, it's possible that PPC this time could do better without the benefit of a Fletcher, so right-splitting isn't so off-the-table after all. (Nor is left-splitting, for that matter; so don't assume a clear-sailing takeback for Eyolfson, either.)
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
This is a toss-up between the Liberals and Conservatives for the time being. Will have to see how it trends once the election is called.