Election Prediction Project

Winnipeg North
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:43:19

Constituency Profile


Brydges, Angela

Chung-Mowat, Melissa

Crooks, Robert

Kassem, Anas

Lamoureux, Kevin

Neilan, Patrick


Kevin Lamoureux

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



37.26 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Kevin Lamoureux ** 1558147.60%
Kyle Mason 846925.90%
Jordyn Ham 682020.80%
Sai Shanthanand Rajagopal 9062.80%
Victor Ong 3241.00%
Henry Hizon 2790.90%
Kathy Doyle 2310.70%
Andrew Taylor 1250.40%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Kevin Lamoureux ** 2340268.90%
Harpreet Turka 519315.30%
Levy Abad 454313.40%
John Redekopp 8262.40%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1250.47%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Winnipeg North
   (95.33% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Kildonan-St. Paul
   (4.67% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

07/09/21 Jon
This race was over before it started.....you can't deny Kevin's team, he has this locked up. Liberals will retain this seat, and the NDP candidate isn't Judy W-L
21/08/21 A.S.
I'm *almost* willing to cheekily offer a ‘no prediction’. The Lamoureux machine is undeniable; however, there were '19 signs of it weakening its hold E of McPhillips and traditional Dipper tendencies reasserting themselves. Except that the real population (and electoral-turnout) base is W of McPhillips: heavily ethnoburban, and where Lamoureux reigns supreme--not without ‘openings’, though, if we want to go by provincial numbers (or the Judy W-L past, for that matter). And it must be said that E of McPhillips, it's more a matter of Lamoureux support leaking like a sieve from all sides--even the *CPC* vote there was above riding par...
15/08/21 R.O.
Kevin Lamoureux has been mp for this riding for a number of years and would expect that to continue .
11/05/21 VotreChoix
As long as Kevin Lamoureux is running again, this will stay Liberal. If he announces he's retiring, then it's worth putting as competitive.

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