Boettcher, Greg
	Duguid, Terry
	Gryba, Byron Curtis
	Kahanovitch, Aiden
	Maher, Melanie
Incumbent:
	Terry Duguid

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			99678 85540 36887 35560 102.15 km² 975.80/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Terry Duguid **	20182	42.10%
	Melanie Maher	18537	38.70%
	Jean-Paul Lapointe	6678	13.90%
	Paul Bettess	2073	4.30%
	Mirwais Nasiri	419	0.90%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Terry Duguid	28096	58.30%
	Gordon Giesbrecht	16709	34.70%
	Brianne Goertzen	2404	5.00%
	Adam Smith	990	2.10%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		20511	51.74%
		5605	14.14%
		12684	32.00%
		848	2.14%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Winnipeg South    (92.24% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Saint Boniface    (7.76% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	11/09/21	Drew613 173.32.44.138
A new Mainstreet riding poll for Winnipeg South showing the Liberals with a very comfortable 17 point lead: https://ipolitics.ca/2021/09/09/liberals-ahead-of-tories-in-kanata-carleton-winnipeg-south/. Looks like Terry Duguid is headed for re-election.
	07/09/21	Jon 24.77.84.90
I know this sounds a little crazy, but I am seeing ALOT of PPC signs in this riding. I think people are sick and tired of both the liberals and conservatives and this could be a 3-way race. Bernier had a rally with 2000 people tonight...Trudeau isn't even doing those numbers. I think we are going to see a few surprises on election day.
	31/08/21	GritBusters 199.119.232.210
Provincial PCs are unpopular. Look for Liberals and NDP to hold any seats that are marginal between themselves and the Tories.
	23/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Typically a swing riding in suburban Winnipeg that has been liberal and conservative in recent years. current mp Terry Dugald was first elected in 2015. Conservative candidate Melanie Maher was also the cpc candidate here in 2019 when she placed a strong second. So need to see how the election plays out before predicting this one.
	21/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
The '15-19 Liberal plummet in Winnipeg was really a Scheery-sectional-politics-in-the-Prairies bandwagon effect--and also a more existential deflation of the united-left-under-the-Liberals formula, as the NDP soared from an atrophied 5% to 14% and the Greens doubled. Justin no longer compelled that '15 scale of enthusiasm in the 'Peg--though at least what remained was enough to him to retain *a* caucus there. And still, keep in mind that the natural pre-90s condition of seats like this would have been suburban Tory. Whether Lib or Con, Winnipeg South's allegiances are ‘conditional’ according to the moment.
	30/07/21	Stevo 164.177.56.217
Perhaps more than any other city in Canada on a relative basis, Liberal numbers in Winnipeg plunged dramatically in 2019 vs 2015, almost costing them this seat. Perhaps it was the overwhelming anti-Liberal tide from AB/SK flowing into MB; this is a province that never seems quite sure whether it wants to join ranks with the Laurentian elites or take up the cause of a fair deal for the West alongside the other Prairie provinces. No Liberal MP in the province can take his or her seat for granted.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
This was competitive in 2019 and I do not expect that to change this time around either, unless the Liberals start surging or the CPC tank.
	06/08/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
In recent years, Winnipeg South has been a relatively reliable bellwether for the rest of the country. Given that, I expect the Liberals to win here.