Election Prediction Project

2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:44:52

Constituency Profile


Falk, Rosemarie

Hansen, Erik

Ingram, Larry

Rutherford, Ken

Sieben, Terry

Wall, Kerri


Rosemarie Falk

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



29491.82 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Rosemarie Falk ** 2803078.30%
Marcella Pedersen 409811.40%
Larry Ingram 24266.80%
Jason MacInnis 6621.80%
David Kim-Cragg 6051.70%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Gerry Ritz ** 2054761.00%
Glenn Tait 593017.60%
Larry Ingram 555016.50%
Doug Anguish 10763.20%
Mikaela Tenkink 5751.70%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (99.95% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   (0.05% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

25/08/21 R.O.
Rose Marie Falk was first elected in a 2017 by election to replace long time mp Gerry Ritz in what has been a long time conservative riding in rural sask. There is a maverick party candidate here they seem to have candidates in all the rural sask ridings but none in Regina or Saskatoon .
21/08/21 A.S.
Indeed, this--like any of these 3/4+-mandate rural AltaSask seats--might be one of those ‘watch Maverick’ situations. Though perhaps more like Reform in '88 than like Reform in '93--or something in between (particularly when it comes to Sask, where Reform's top '88 result was 6.6% in Kindersley-Lloydminster and nowhere else did they go much beyond 2%)
16/08/21 Paul
Driving 15AUG2021 from Loon Lake to St. Walburg to Paradise Hill to Frenchman Butte to Lloydminster I was shocked and surprised how many Maverick Party signs were up. Could the CPC have a fight on their right here?
11/05/21 VotreChoix
Rural riding in Saskatchewan, should be safe CPC

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