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References:
Population (2016): Population (2011):Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density |
82946 7201036211 33909 335.90 km² 246.90/km² |
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
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| Kevin Waugh ** |
26336 | 53.30% |
| Erika Ritchie |
12672 | 25.60% |
| Tracy Muggli |
8419 | 17.00% |
| Neil Sinclair |
1320 | 2.70% |
| Mark Friesen |
692 | 1.40% |
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
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| Kevin Waugh |
19166 | 41.60% |
| Scott Bell |
13909 | 30.20% |
| Tracy Muggli |
12165 | 26.40% |
| Mark Bigland-Pritchard |
846 | 1.80% |
2011 Results (redistributed)
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18119 | 50.23% |
| |
14373 | 39.84% |
| |
2642 | 7.32% |
| |
900 | 2.49% |
Other | |
43 | 0.12%% |
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
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Blackstrap
(93.13% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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Saskatoon-Humboldt
(6.87% of voters in current riding)
2011/2008/2004 Predictions
Reference - Pundits’ Guide
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| 14/09/21 |
Billy P. 70.64.36.91 |
This is my riding for the last 50 years.I am not a member of any political party. The PC member here is popular, and hard working, and pigs will fly before he loses this seat. I expect he will garner over 50% of the vote again. |
| 23/08/21 |
R.O. 24.146.13.237 |
Kevin Waugh was first elected in 2015 in what has been a long time conservative area of Saskatoon so likely he holds this one. |
| 21/08/21 |
A.S. 99.225.52.35 |
Remember that a lot of these low '19 NDP totals in Sask were aggravated by native-son-Scheer-vs-week-Jagmeet perceptions going into the election--indeed, the '15 Lib candidate running again made it look at first like *she* was poised to assume runner-up honours, In the end, the NDP did solidly deflect away that potential-thirddom--but was still outpolled by the Cons by over 2:1 (though they did hold onto the fringe-central Buena Vista zone). To be monitored more in terms of how far the Dippers can revert to something like ‘normal’--and one trouble for opposition forces in seats like this is in how much the ‘Scheer suburban’ demo overlaps w/the ‘O'Toole suburban’ demo; that is, less likelihood of attrition in a Maverick direction. (And even right now, a quarter of the vote for the NDP might seem meagre; but remember that the party was winning Sask seats w/low 30s shares in '93. Of course, that was w/a disunited right, a much more Sask-viable Liberal party, etc) |
| 17/08/21 |
Sam 188.28.207.33 |
After a few goes which led to what might be considered underperformances the NDP fell back to an even lower total last time - not really a surprise, but a mountain to climb back from, in what is a weaker area for them. Whilst some argument could be made about these urban prairie ridings trending away from the CPC, they are often generic and this isn't a close enough riding that a few points here and there is likely to make the difference. Conservative for now. |
| 11/05/21 |
VotreChoix 149.202.238.204 |
Likely should remain safely CPC, as it was won even in 2015. |
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