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Yorkton-Melville
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:44:52
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Ames-Sinclair, Jordan

Brooks, Valerie

Loucks, Denise

Robertson, Braden

Rust, Halsten David

Wagantall, Cathay


Incumbent:

Cathay Wagantall

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

71031
71270

37646
30739

42537.47 km²
1.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Cathay Wagantall ** 2952376.20%
Carter Antoine 474712.20%
Connor Moen 24886.40%
Stacey Wiebe 10702.80%
Ryan Schultz 9412.40%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Cathay Wagantall 2168359.20%
Doug Ottenbreit 739620.20%
Brooke Taylor Malinoski 650417.80%
Elaine Marie Hughes 10302.80%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2360768.88%
752621.96%
22676.61%
8182.39%
Other 580.17%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Yorkton-Melville
   (92.79% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Saskatoon-Humboldt
   (7.19% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
   (0.02% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


23/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Cathy Wagantall was first elected in 2015 when she replaced the long time conservative mp of this riding. Rural sask riding likely she holds it this year.
21/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
*Of course*, Lorne Nystrom's old Prairie-socialist stronghold would be among the CPC 3/4 bunch this time--did you expect any different? ;-) (And maybe poetically fitting, given how it was Scheer who extinguished Nystrom's electoral career in '04.) And of course, your usual set of FN polls amidst it all where the Cons finished 3rd and w/a single-digit share at large.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural riding in Saskatchewan, should be safe CPC barring a surge from the Mavericks or PPC.



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