Election Prediction Project

Calgary Skyview
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-11 22:48:09

Constituency Profile


Gill, Gurinder Singh

Sahota, Jag


Jag Sahota

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



122.56 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Jag Sahota 2653352.50%
Nirmala Naidoo 1432728.30%
Gurinder Singh Gill 754014.90%
Signe Knutson 8001.60%
Harry Dhillon 6031.20%
Joseph Alexander 4831.00%
Harpreet Singh Dawar 1360.30%
Daniel Blanchard 1300.30%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Darshan Singh Kang 2064445.90%
Devinder Shory ** 1788539.80%
Sahajvir Singh 36058.00%
Najeeb Butt 9572.10%
Ed Reddy 8461.90%
Stephen Garvey 7861.70%
Joseph Young 1820.40%
Daniel Blanchard 880.20%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 1290.44%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Calgary Northeast
   (99.97% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

   Wild Rose
   (0.03% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

31/07/20 Sam
This riding is not safe for the CPC on their current numbers - and if the Liberals were to gain a riding in Calgary it's quite possible this would be the first one. Yes, the CPC won by big margins last time but even with some reversion to the mean it's not looking too comfortable for them on current polling.
24/07/20 KXS
Not sure why Calgary Skyview is seen as a CPC hold, while Calgary Confederation is a toss up.
This is probably the most likely pick up for Liberals in Calgary. Their candidate is also an incumbent Ward 5 city councillor.
09/07/20 Steve Smith
It's definitely premature to call this for the Conservatives. The Liberals won it in 2015 with a star-ish candidate. Conservative fortunes in Alberta appear to be lower than they were in 2015, and now the Liberals have announced another star-ish candidate in George Chahal. I'd have this as too close to call, maybe even with a slight edge to the Liberals.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
With the CPC polling lower and backlash against the UCP at the provincial level, this one could become a tossup.

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