Aboultaif, Ziad
	Halvorson, Martin
	Smith, Donna Lynn
	St. Germain, Charmaine
	Vachon, Andre
Incumbent:
	Ziad Aboultaif

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			121048 106208 45519 43053 157.73 km² 767.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Ziad Aboultaif **	30425	55.90%
	Kamal Kadri	11692	21.50%
	Charmaine St. Germain	9555	17.60%
	Laura-Leah Shaw	1255	2.30%
	Daniel Summers	1109	2.00%
	Pam Phiri	276	0.50%
	Andre Vachon	68	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Ziad Aboultaif	22166	45.20%
	Sukhdev Aujla	13509	27.60%
	Aaron Paquette	11582	23.60%
	Chris Vallee	1079	2.20%
	Mebreate Deres	540	1.10%
	André Vachon	125	0.30%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		18954	55.46%
		9082	26.57%
		3112	9.11%
		983	2.88%
Other		2049	5.99%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Edmonton-Sherwood Park    (46.29% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Edmonton East    (45.51% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Edmonton-St. Albert    (8.21% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	31/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Zaid Aboultaif was first elected in 2015 in what has been a long time conservative riding in Edmonton federally. So likely he holds the riding.
	23/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
Actually, there is greater-than-zero chance of this going NDP, if we simply go by Kenney-backlash-fueled polls showing severely depressed numbers for CPC in Alberta--that is, the pickups have to come from *somewhere*; and while this may be suburban, it's also a bit of a Hamilton Mountain or London-Fanshawe type of suburban that isn't *that* averse to NDP support (certainly not provincially). However, 5% is greater than zero; and my CPC prediction acknowledges the other 95%. I'm still prepared to be surprised, though.
	03/08/21	Steve Smith 174.3.195.66
No idea how this got marked as too close to call. It is easy to call: Conservative hold.
	02/08/21	Thomas K 24.85.228.170
Very suburban Edmonton riding that is far from the city centre. There is literally 0 chance this is going to elect an NDP MP. Safe Conservative.
	22/07/21	Garth 50.117.233.151
Most polls show the Conservative vote down more than 20% from the last election in Alberta and the NDP vote up more than 10%. If the Conservatives have lost support, this is one of the ridings where one expect to see it. If the NDP has gained support, the gains will be greatest in Edmonton. If the election is called soon, this riding will be in play.
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Suburban Edmonton seat which has been safe for the Conservatives for decades. Don't see that changing this election.