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Edmonton Manning
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-07-26 14:08:36
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Aboultaif, Ziad

St. Germain, Charmaine


Incumbent:

Ziad Aboultaif

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

121048
106208

45519
43053

157.73 km²
767.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Ziad Aboultaif ** 3042555.90%
Kamal Kadri 1169221.50%
Charmaine St. Germain 955517.60%
Laura-Leah Shaw 12552.30%
Daniel Summers 11092.00%
Pam Phiri 2760.50%
Andre Vachon 680.10%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Ziad Aboultaif 2216645.20%
Sukhdev Aujla 1350927.60%
Aaron Paquette 1158223.60%
Chris Vallee 10792.20%
Mebreate Deres 5401.10%
André Vachon 1250.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

1895455.46%
908226.57%
31129.11%
9832.88%
Other 20495.99%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Edmonton-Sherwood Park
   (46.29% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Edmonton East
   (45.51% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Edmonton-St. Albert
   (8.21% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


02/08/20 Thomas K
24.85.228.170
Very suburban Edmonton riding that is far from the city centre. There is literally 0 chance this is going to elect an NDP MP. Safe Conservative.
22/07/20 Garth
50.117.233.151
Most polls show the Conservative vote down more than 20% from the last election in Alberta and the NDP vote up more than 10%. If the Conservatives have lost support, this is one of the ridings where one expect to see it. If the NDP has gained support, the gains will be greatest in Edmonton. If the election is called soon, this riding will be in play.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Suburban Edmonton seat which has been safe for the Conservatives for decades. Don't see that changing this election.



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