Barlow, John
	Hunter, Daniel
	Rogers, Brett
	Shimp, Paula
	Traxel, Michelle
	Wylie, Josh
Incumbent:
	John Barlow

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			113227 105515 44928 41318 20865.99 km² 5.40/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	John Barlow **	53872	82.10%
	Cheryl Moller	3856	5.90%
	Mickail Hendi	3767	5.70%
	Bridget Lacey	2398	3.70%
	Greg Hession	1698	2.60%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	John Barlow **	46166	75.70%
	Tanya MacPherson	8149	13.40%
	Alison Thompson	3919	6.40%
	Romy S. Tittel	1983	3.30%
	Cory Morgan	424	0.70%
	Marc Slingerland	345	0.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		35899	77.82%
		4655	10.09%
		1624	3.52%
		2193	4.75%
Other		1758	3.81%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Macleod    (99.92% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide
Lethbridge    (0.08% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	31/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
John Barlow was first elected in a 2014 by election in what has been a long time conservative riding in rural alberta. Likely to stay cpc
	23/08/21	A.S. 99.225.52.35
I allowed in '19 for the ‘extreme case scenario’ of no opponents even getting a tenth of what CPC got--well, thanks to the Scheer wall and splits, the best anyone got was a bit over 7% of the CPC total. (And yet thanks to FN, opposition seats were won anyway.)
	11/05/21	VotreChoix 149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
	05/05/21	JW 45.41.168.96
Montreal West Island constituencies are generally reliably Liberal.