Election Prediction Project

Grande Prairie-Mackenzie
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:06:14

Constituency Profile


Campbell, Dan

Eckstrom, Donovan

McLean, Shawn

Ralph, Ambrose

Villebrun, Jennifer

Warkentin, Chris


Chris Warkentin

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



112885.43 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Chris Warkentin ** 5119884.00%
Erin Alyward 42457.00%
Kenneth Munro 29104.80%
Douglas Gordon Burchill 14922.40%
Shelley Termuende 11341.90%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Chris Warkentin ** 3889572.90%
Reagan Johnston 781914.70%
Saba Mossagizi 43438.10%
James David Friesen 16733.10%
Dylan Thompson 6131.10%

2011 Results (redistributed)

Other 5251.55%

Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   Peace River
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

15/09/21 R.O.
Chris Warkentin was first elected here in 2006 and re elected in every election since . riding has a long right of centre tradition. More fringe parties on the right this year so results look different but stay cpc.
23/08/21 A.S.
When it comes to things Maverick, it'd seem from Jay Hill's leadership that the Peace River region--’removed from it all’ even by Calgary/Edmonton standards--would be their most ‘natural’ heart of support. But I'm not ready to put it to the test of allowing for an upset; even if it'll happen *anywhere*, it's *here*.
11/05/21 VotreChoix
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
05/05/21 JW
Mount Royal may have lost its historical status as the safest Liberal seat in the country, but it remains solidly in the Liberal column.

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