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Medicine Hat-Cardston-Warner
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:06:26
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Motz, Glen


Incumbent:

Glen Motz

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

106896
102847

43243
40125

29559.04 km²
3.60/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Glen Motz ** 4204579.20%
Elizabeth Thomson 46398.70%
Harris Kirshenbaum 35286.60%
Andrew Nelson 13502.50%
Shannon Hawthorne 12032.30%
Dave Phillips 3370.60%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Jim Hillyer ** 3484968.80%
Glen Allan 908517.90%
Erin Weir 48979.70%
Brent Smith 13192.60%
John Clayton Turner 5001.00%


2011 Results (redistributed)

2565968.70%
557914.94%
416511.15%
16594.44%
Other 2880.77%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Medicine Hat
   (76.52% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Lethbridge
   (18.93% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Macleod
   (4.55% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


11/05/21 VotreChoix
149.202.238.204
Rural Alberta seat so safe CPC for now unless Mavericks/PPC start making momentum.
05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
Vancouver East is arguably the most reliably NDP riding in the country. Considering:
- It is the only riding in Canada that has consistently elected NDP members since 1997.
- It returned NDP or CCF members in 25 of the 27 federal elections since its creation in 1935.
- Its component provincial ridings, Vancouver-Hastings and Vancouver-Mount Pleasant, both consistently returned NDP MLA since their creation in 1991 (being the only 2 ridings in the province withholding the Liberal wipeout in the 2001), and their predecessor riding Vancouver East has returned NDP and CCF MLAs in all but one election since its creation in 1933.



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