Bogunovic, Rob
	Green, Arthur
	Pohl, DJ
	Strahl, Mark
	Velonis, Kelly
Incumbent:
	Mark Strahl

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			100126 92734 42535 39681 3285.73 km² 30.50/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Mark Strahl **	26672	49.60%
	Kelly Velonis	10848	20.20%
	Heather McQuillan	8957	16.70%
	Arthur Green	5243	9.80%
	Rob Bogunovic	1760	3.30%
	Daniel Lamache	202	0.40%
	Dorothy-Jean O'Donnell	73	0.10%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Mark Strahl **	21445	42.30%
	Louis De Jaeger	17114	33.80%
	Seonaigh MacPherson	9218	18.20%
	Thomas Cheney	2386	4.70%
	Alexander Johnson	416	0.80%
	Dorothy-Jean O'Donnell	82	0.20%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		22748	59.57%
		8973	23.50%
		4273	11.19%
		1923	5.04%
Other		276	0.72%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
If the Cons were really in a quarter-vote-at-large tailspin, I might even have mustered a daring non-prediction--though the more critical chipping-away at the right happened provincially w/the BCNDP scoring both Chilliwack seats (albeit w/opposition splits). But Strahl's more critical scare was a within-10-points close call in '15. Sure, creeping Greater Vancouverness might explain the BCNDP conquering Chilliwack; but even if it (or something ‘external’ like PPC) leads to Strahl dipping below 40%, the Lib-NDP split's likely to save him.
	13/08/21	R.O. 24.146.13.237
Longtime conservative riding in rural bc , Mark Strahl has been mp since 2011 and riding held by his father before he was mp so likely to stay cpc.
	28/06/21	Lolitha 161.184.30.62
As of June 28, both 338 and Leantossup have Chilliwack-Hope as a safe Con seat (99% plus probability), so it seems reasonable to start there!