Election Prediction Project

Richmond Centre
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales

Prediction Changed
2021-07-04 19:08:36

Constituency Profile


Gillanders, Laura

Hinton, James

Miao, Wilson

Nixon, Sandra

Wong, Alice


Alice Wong

Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density



43.23 km²

2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Alice Wong ** 1903749.00%
Steven Kou 1105228.50%
Dustin Innes 561714.50%
Françoise Raunet 23766.10%
Ivan Pak 5381.40%
Zhe Zhang 1970.50%

2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Alice Wong ** 1762244.20%
Lawrence Woo 1648641.40%
Jack Trovato 460211.50%
Vincent Chiu 11522.90%

2011 Results (redistributed)


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)

   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide

25/08/21 A.S.
If one wanted, one *could* look warily at how the BCNDP now controls 3 of 4 Richmond ridings--though the one they *don't* happens to be a predominant factor within this entity. Besides, as we all know, provincial-style BC partisanship doesn't always jibe with federal-style BC partisanship, even when it comes to ‘rough bracketing’. So if Alice Wong's gotten herself to the point of a 20+-point margin, it'll only be a *real* Greater Vancouver CPC implosion claiming her.
23/08/21 R.O.
Alice Wong was first elected in 2008 so riding been conservative for a while although it had been liberal before she became mp. But likely she’ll hold onto the seat this year.
30/06/21 Negative Inference
The most Chinese ridings in both Greater Vancouver (this one) and Greater Toronto (Markham-Unionville) both bucked the red treads in both 2015 and 2019. Expect this to remain blue.

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