Busch, David
	Currie, Dock
	Hilderman, David
	May, Elizabeth
	Moore-Arbour, Sherri
	Singh, Sabina
Incumbent:
	Elizabeth May

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			107339 104285 50773 44963 499.47 km² 214.90/km²
2019 Results - 2019 Prediction
	Elizabeth May **	33454	49.10%
	David Busch	13784	20.20%
	Ryan Windsor	11326	16.60%
	Sabina Singh	8657	12.70%
	Ron Broda	929	1.40%
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Elizabeth May **	37070	54.40%
	Robert Boyd	13260	19.50%
	Tim Kane	11380	16.70%
	Alicia Cormier	6181	9.10%
	Meghan Jess Porter	249	0.40%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		22784	36.48%
		6898	11.04%
		3788	6.06%
		28993	46.42%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Saanich-Gulf Islands    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	25/08/21	A.S. 45.41.168.91
I was willing to throw in a non-prediction; but the fact that the Annamie crisis hasn't so far been driving Green polling *quite* as underwater as it could reinforces the notion of Elly May being eternal as long as she wants it. And if the conventional wisdom is that the Greens are thoroughly imploded post-May, watch the Cons *and* the NDP *and* the Libs (for whom the affluent Red/Green Toryism hereabouts is very congenial--and it's part of why the Green-endorsed Liberal candidate did such a strong big-tent 2nd in '08, w/help from a disgraced NDP candidate)
	20/08/21	Gritbusters 50.100.213.244
Not much of a reach here: May still has a strong following in her own right and is the default ABC vote in a riding that the Reform-a-Tories had previously held for years.
	19/08/21	Marco Ricci 174.114.237.78
Elizabeth May's winning margin dropped several points in 2019 after the high of 2015, but she remains the strongest MP the Greens have.
	04/08/21	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
Ms. May remains personally very popular. The real contest in this riding will be for second place. The Conservatives and NDP, who have both re-nominated their 2019 candidates, should be trying for a strong second place finish, since when May does eventually retire, they each have a good chance of winning here. Easy Green win, but look for signs in the turnout in stronger NDP areas (south part of the riding in Saanich) and Conservative areas (north part of the riding, like Sidney and Central Saanich)
	09/05/21	J.F. Breton 38.23.227.9
Je vois mal comment Elisabeth May pourrait perdre sa circonscription. Elle est solidement implantée et demeure le visage des Verts au Canada. Ce sera un gain facile pour elle.