Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Vancouver East
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-05 13:08:35
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Kwan, Jenny


Incumbent:

Jenny Kwan

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

115724
110097

58338
54243

21.53 km²
5374.70/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Jenny Kwan ** 2923652.60%
Kyle Demes 1008518.10%
Bridget Burns 806214.50%
Chris Corsetti 672412.10%
Karin Litzcke 6791.20%
Gölök Z Buday 5621.00%
Peter Marcus 1770.30%
Anne Jamieson 860.20%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Jenny Kwan 2931649.90%
Edward Wong 1653228.20%
James Low 632210.80%
Wes Regan 53959.20%
Peter Marcus 5250.90%
D. Alex Millar 2160.40%
Anne Jamieson 2140.40%
Shawn Vulliez 1880.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

836118.90%
2779462.83%
43829.91%
33837.65%
Other 3180.72%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Vancouver East
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


31/07/20 Thomas K
24.85.228.170
The Vancouver gentrification trend is nowhere near strong enough in this riding to have any significant impact on the NDP's support. This area has suffered a lot during the pandemic, and will 100% be returning Jenny Kwan to parliament.
08/06/21 Stevo
164.177.56.217
This used to be the safest NDP seat in the country, but with Vancouver's housing bubble pushing into the east end and gentrifying it, it is perhaps no longer so. Still safe enough especially with high profile MP Jenny Kwan.
05/05/21 JW
45.41.168.96
CPC won over 80% in most rural Aberta ridings last time.



Navigate to Canada 2021 Home | Provincial/Regional Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2021 - Élections fédérales canadiennes
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2021 - Email Webmaster