Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Thunder Bay-Superior North


Prediction Changed
0000-00-00 00:00:00
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Gravelle, Michael

You, Peng


Incumbent:
Michael Gravelle

Population (2016):

Population (2011):70475


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

MICHAEL GRAVELLE *
11,97339.86%
LISE VAUGEOIS
11,16037.16%
DEREK PARKS
5,39517.96%
AMANDA MODDEJONGE
8382.79%
ANDY WOLFF
3761.25%
TONY GALLO
1480.49%
LOUISE EWEN
1450.48%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

15,519 55.97%
1,991 7.18%
8,169 29.46%
997 3.60%
OTHERS 1,049 3.78%
Total Transposed 27,725
      Component Riding(s)

Thunder Bay-Superior North
(100.00% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Patty Hajdu **
18,50242.90%
Frank Pullia
11,03625.60%
Anna Betty Achneepineskum
9,12621.10%
Bruce Hyer
3,6398.40%
Youssef Khanjari
7341.70%
Alexander Vodden
1400.30%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Patty Hajdu
20,06945.00%
Andrew Foulds
10,33923.20%
Richard Harvey
7,77517.40%
Bruce Hyer **
6,15513.80%
Robert Skaf
2700.60%


 

03/06/21 0 JBee
216.26.216.193
Gravelle still managed to win here in 2018 when the provincial Liberal vote tanked, and he'll win again by a much larger margin.
20/05/21 0 Williams_Theo
99.255.248.252
Great to see this site back up and running.
I was born & raised in this riding before moving away. 2018 was the fight of Michael Gravelle's career and he was still able to hang on by 2.7%. That year proved that this seat is Gravelle's as long as he wants it. Given that he will be running again, OLP is doing better in the polls, and his opponents do not stack up well against him, this one will be an easy hold.



Navigate to Ontario 2022 Home | Regional Index | Submission

Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
© Election Prediction Project, 1999-2022 | www.electionprediction.org | Email Webmaster