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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Chatham-Kent-Leamington


Prediction Changed
2021-08-14 12:29:04
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Nicholls, Rick


Incumbent:
Rick Nicholls

Population (2016):

109619
Population (2011):111866


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

RICK NICHOLLS *
24,07851.92%
JORDAN MCGRAIL
16,55835.71%
MARGARET SCHLEIER STAHL
3,7368.06%
MARK VERCOUTEREN
1,6433.54%
DREW BARRY JOHN SIMPSON
3580.77%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

9,561 23.80%
14,851 36.97%
13,156 32.74%
2,090 5.20%
OTHERS 518 1.29%
Total Transposed 40,176
      Component Riding(s)

Chatham-Kent-Essex
(94.37% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Essex
(4.83% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
(0.81% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Dave Epp
25,35946.90%
Katie Omstead
16,89931.20%
Tony Walsh
8,22915.20%
Mark Vercouteren
2,2334.10%
John Balagtas
1,0612.00%
Paul Coulbeck
3070.60%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Dave Van Kesteren **
21,67741.70%
Katie Omstead
19,35137.20%
Tony Walsh
9,54918.40%
Mark Vercouteren
1,3942.70%


 

31/08/21 1 DR
198.84.156.144
MPP Rick Nichols was booted from caucus for refusing to be vaccinated. Ford is facing a lot of anger in light of COVID response. NDP expected to campaign hard here
26/08/21 0 DR
198.84.156.144
This area may be up for grabs in 2022 among the PCs, Liberals and NDP. PC Rick Nicholls won easily last time but was removed from caucus by Premier Ford for refusing to be vaccinated for COVID-19 and now sits as an independent.
18/06/2021 JW
45.41.168.96
For the most part, Southwestern Ontario (other than KW/Tricities) will be two way fight between PC and NDP. Rural SW has been realiable conservative territory both federally and provincially in the past 15 or so years.
17/06/21 0 Chris N
2.57.169.106
Some speculated in 2018 that the NDP would pick this up from the PCs. However, the NDP only increased their vote over 2014 by 3%. I suspect this will be a win for the PCs and Nichols in 2022.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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