Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Don Valley West


Prediction Changed
2021-06-30 17:45:55
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 


Incumbent:
Kathleen Wynne

Population (2016):

102508
Population (2011):99820


2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)

KATHLEEN WYNNE *
17,80238.89%
JON KIERAN
17,62138.49%
AMARA POSSIAN
8,62018.83%
MORGAN BAILEY
1,2682.77%
JOHN KITTREDGE
3800.83%
PATRICK GEOFFREY KNIGHT
860.19%


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

21,830 56.30%
12,504 32.25%
2,665 6.87%
1,237 3.19%
OTHERS 536 1.38%
Total Transposed 38,771
      Component Riding(s)

Don Valley West
(87.50% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

St. Paul's
(12.50% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions


2021 Federal Election Prediction


2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Rob Oliphant **
29,14855.80%
Yvonne Robertson
16,30431.20%
Laurel MacDowell
3,8047.30%
Amanda Kistindey
2,2574.30%
Ian Prittie
4440.90%
John Kittredge
2770.50%


2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Rob Oliphant
27,47253.80%
John Carmichael **
19,20637.60%
Syeda Riaz
3,0766.00%
Natalie Hunt **
8481.70%
John Kittredge
3250.60%
Elizabeth Hill
840.20%
Sharon Cromwell
750.10%


 

23/10/21 1 Benna9
174.94.31.105
FYI, the Liberals have just nominated Stephanie Bowman* as their candidate in DVW, seeking to replace Kathleen Wynne.
* https://ontarioliberal.ca/don-valley-west-nomination/
You just got a call from your new provincial Liberal candidate's office (Stephanie Bowman*) who seeks to replace Kathleen Wynne. They will call back next week.
Comment I found on the Election Prediction Project: ‘Kathleen Wynne will not run in 2022 after winning by a nose in 2018. At this time it's probably leaning Liberal but I anticipate the PCs will direct a lot of resources into this open seat after coming so close in 2018.’
* https://ontarioliberal.ca/don-valley-west-nomination/
https://www.thestar.com/politics/provincial/2021/10/12/liberals-banking-on-banker-to-safeguard-don-valley-west-when-kathleen-wynne-retires.html
15/10/21 1 Chris N
99.225.116.214
With Kathleen Wynne retiring, the Liberals have nominated Stephanie Bowman, a Bay Street exec and former Bank of Canada member, to run in her place.
26/05/21 1 Chris N
24.36.32.209
Kathleen Wynne will not run in 2022 after winning by a nose in 2018. At this time it's probably leaning Liberal but I anticipate the PCs will direct a lot of resources into this open seat after coming so close in 2018.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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