Mississauga East-Cooksville

	Damerla, Dipika
	Hea, James
	Hussain, Khawar
	Jachtholtz, Wiktor
	Morrissey, Mark
	Rasheed, Kaleed
	Tomchyshyn, Gregory

Incumbent:

		Kaleed Rasheed
Population (2016):			120205
Population (2011):			121792
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
		KALEED RASHEED
		17,862	41.15%
		DIPIKA DAMERLA *
		13,123	30.23%
		TOM TAKACS
		9,871	22.74%
		BASIA KRZYZANOWSKI
		1,498	3.45%
		MARK DONALDSON
		463	1.07%
		LEONARD LITTLE
		413	0.95%
		MYKOLA PONOMARENKO
		175	0.40%
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
		18,510	50.19%
		10,302	27.93%
		5,500	14.91%
		1,344	3.65%
	OTHERS	1,224	3.32%
	Total Transposed		36,880
Component Riding(s)
	Mississauga East-Cooksville (78.23% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
	Mississauga-Brampton South (21.77% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
2021 Federal Election Prediction
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Peter Fonseca **
		27,923	53.10%
		Wladyslaw Lizon
		17,664	33.60%
		Tom Takacs
		4,643	8.80%
		Maha Rasheed
		1,578	3.00%
		Syed Rizvi
		637	1.20%
		Anna Di Carlo
		178	0.30%
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Peter Fonseca
		28,154	54.20%
		Wladyslaw Lizon **
		18,353	35.40%
		Ali Naqvi
		4,481	8.60%
		Jaymini Bhikha
		766	1.50%
		Tim Sullivan
		163	0.30%

	28/05/2022	Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105
This 1 is hard to pick as the incumbent PC MPP is a cabinet minister (Albeit a low level cabinet minister - Digital Services) but the Liberals are running the former MPP for this area who is now a city councilor. Seems to be leaning Liberal from what I can read so I'll pick it to go Liberal as well.
	19/05/2022	CD 66.234.34.46
Given historical patterns, even though PCs start with an edge the odds are good that the Liberals can flip many Mississauga ridings, including this one. Latest polling doesn't have the gap between PCs and Liberals large enough in the GTA to give the PCs space in places like Mississauga.
	27/04/22	LeftCoast 207.194.253.26
I think former Liberal MPP Dipka Damerla will easily snag this seat back from PC incumbent Kaleed Rasheed. She did very well in 2018 compared to fellow Liberal incumbents.
	06/04/22	A.S. 99.225.52.35
How is a Lib win here a "most certain outcome"? Damerla did well in defeat by '18 OLP standards, but not "Charles Sousa" well; nor was she ever larger-than-life in the way that her predecessor Peter Fonseca *seemed* to be (and even Fonseca in federal office ultimately hasn't exactly performed in larger-than-life terms at the ballot box). The riding's "traditional Liberal ground" in the most generically conditional Mississauga way, and the conditionality lives on in the present PC incumbency--if you want "un-natural" Toryism in Mississauga, you're better off looking to Miss Centre or Miss-Malton. Plus, while the Libs are polling better, they're still the non-OPS 3rd party and such sickliness can presently constrain them. I'm not saying that Damerla *can't* win; just, let's exercise a little restraint here...
	31/03/22	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Kaleed Rasheed was first elected here in 2018 when he beat liberal mpp Dipika Damerla who is running again this year. Mississauga typically been a swing area provincially as the pc’s won here in the 90’s then it was liberal until Ford won the last election. Ndp yet to select a candidate but typically don’t do well in Mississauga although did win seats in Brampton last election. Incumbent is a relatively likeable mpp and increased his profile at queens park.
	30/03/22	Finn 72.138.106.30
Out of all the Mississauga ridings, this riding is has the most certain outcome in my opinion. PC incumbent Kaleed Rasheed is not particularly strong, and this is traditional Liberal ground. Expect the Liberals to be able to retake this riding on election night.
	06/03/22	KXS 72.137.76.35
Dipika Damerla should be able to win this back for the Liberals. She performed better than most Liberal incumbents in Peel in 2018. She's now an incumbent city councillor. The Liberals are polling better than they did in 2018 and this is a Liberal friendly area.
	06/03/22	seasaw 69.157.38.158
While I agree with Dr Bear that this is not a natural PC territory, I believe that barring an unforeseen situation they will be able to hang on to this riding. Remember,they did win here in '95 and '99, the incumbent is a very visible MPP, and last time a lot of people were nervous about Ford, so many held their noses and voted Liberal. Now, that scare is gone, the incumbent is strong and the challenger was a big player in the unpopular government. All these factors should produce a PC win
	08/10/21	Dr Bear 69.196.155.47
This is not a natural PC seat and it went to the Conservatives because of the Liberal?¢â‚¬â„¢s collapsing. Despite this, the Liberals did hold a significant portion of their previous support. Now that the LPO has spent a term in the penalty box, there will be a bit of a rebound and this, especially with the former MPP running again. Unless the NDP look like they are going to form government, much of that 2018 support will return to team red. Add in a bit of PC attrition and the Liberals will take back this seat.
	18/06/21	JW 45.41.168.96
Despite winning all six Mississauga seats, Ford did not elevate a single Mississauga MPP to his cabinet. (Understandably, they are all pretty average/unimpressive... but you figure there would be a token presence for the province's second largest city!) Mississauga ridings have almost consistently been the bellweather indicators both provincially and federally in the past couple decades. If Ford is back in as premier, most of the six Mississauga PC MPPs will be back in with him. If Ford is out as premier, none will buck the trend.