Nipissing

	Fedeli, Vic
	Jobin, Joe
	Lashbrook, Michelle
	Lougheed, Erika
	Mcclocklin, Sean
	Russell, Taylor
	Vezina, Giacomo
	Vrebosch, Tanya

Incumbent:

		Vic Fedeli
Population (2016):
Population (2011):			75060
2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)
		VIC FEDELI *
		17,598	49.93%
		HENRI GIROUX
		12,994	36.87%
		STEPHEN GLASS
		2,794	7.93%
		KRIS RIVARD
		997	2.83%
		TREVOR HOLLIDAY
		738	2.09%
		BOND KEEVIL
		122	0.35%
2014 Election Result: (Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)
		8,382	26.78%
		13,085	41.81%
		8,057	25.74%
		1,188	3.80%
	OTHERS	585	1.87%
	Total Transposed		31,297
Component Riding(s)
	Nipissing (100.00% of voters in new riding) 2014/2011/2007 Predictions
2021 Federal Election Prediction
2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Anthony Rota **
		19,352	40.50%
		Jordy Carr
		12,984	27.20%
		Rob Boulet
		9,784	20.50%
		Alex Gomm
		3,111	6.50%
		Mark King
		2,496	5.20%
2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)
		Anthony Rota
		25,357	51.90%
		Jay Aspin **
		14,325	29.30%
		Kathleen Jodouin
		7,936	16.20%
		Nicole Peltier
		1,257	2.60%

	01/06/2022	NJam101 216.167.228.27
While Fedeli isn't playing as prominent of a role in cabinet that he once was, he will still win pretty big in Nipissing. No opponent will be close. It's kind of interesting because when Mike Harris was MPP here and Premier, he had strong Liberal candidates run against him who came fairly close.
	29/05/2022	Tony Ducey 24.137.72.105
The one time political home of former premier Mike Harris is now home to Vic Fedeli, one of Ford's more well known ministers. I think he holds onto this seat on June 2.
	28/04/22	WesternLeftist 207.194.253.26
The NDP were competitive here in 2018 against PC star Vic Fedeli. NDP have picked councillor Erika Lougheed as their candidate (in fact she was the first candidate selected by the party in the province). She'll run a spirited campaign, but Fedeli should be able to retain the seat, bar a province-level PC collapse.
	23/04/22	Finn 174.114.72.203
I find it unlikely this riding goes anything but PC. Remember, yes, the PCs received less than half of the vote, but also remember, the NDP, who came second place, is supposed to drop even more than the PCs. Even if you want to make the argument that the PC vote will drop here, the NDP and Liberals could vote split this riding leading to Fedeli to win by an even larger margin than 2018.
	23/04/22	AD 198.84.175.242
There doesn't really seem to be a good reason to think this won't be a relatively safe re-election for the PCs, in my opinion. It's not like polling is showing a vast sea change, and the LPO is at best going to just diminish NDP competition here.
	21/04/22	Dr Bear 216.154.47.238
Adding to my (much) earlier post, the Liberal candidate, Tanya Vrebosch, is a well known city councillor, deputy mayor and part of a local political dynasty (her father is also a long time councillor). She will give Fideli a run for his money. As for NDP candidate Erika Lougheed, she is on council out in the townships, so not as much name recognition in the city proper. For that reason, I do not anticipate as much of an NDP/Liberal vote split. Smart money is still on Vic but I expect to see numbers closer to(and inverted from) the recent federal election. (Side note: it is my prediction that in the subsequent rounds of elections, we are going to see both Fideli and Rota not offering again)
	21/04/22	A.S. 99.225.52.35
A sign of how determinedly the OLP's seeking to assert its competitiveness and leave the nightmare of '18 behind them: that they've gone from what had been practically a paper campaign in '18 to North Bay's Deputy Mayor in '22 (and the daughter of a former provincial PC candidate, of all things). Which unless the Libs shine forth as an authentic government-in-waiting, is likelier to split the opposition on Fedeli's behalf--though there may be an element of sleeper vulnerability to Fedeli, judging from his low 40s '14 result and that he just missed majority in '18 (as opposed to him just *making* majority in '11).
	14/03/22	R.O. 24.146.13.249
Vic Fedeli was first elected here in 2011 and increased his profile at queens park over the years. both the ndp and liberals running new candidates with municipal council backgrounds Erika Lougheed and Tanya Vrebosch. Which generated some publicity at the time they were announced but not much since. Not sure if there is any local provincial issues specific to the riding but did read North Bay finally got its new casino which had been delayed for years.
	09/10/21	Dr Bear 69.196.155.47
While I am no longer living in this riding, I do still have many contacts here and it seems that Fedeli?¢â‚¬â„¢s popularity is starting to wane. By no means am I suggesting he is likely to lose. I?¢â‚¬â„¢m saying that we are more likely to see his support in the low 40?¢â‚¬â„¢s. That could change if the other parties nominate strong candidates with serious name recognition.
	14/08/21	EP 45.41.168.91
As long as Fedeli is on the ballot, I doubt the other parties has much of a chance. He may be an underwhelming minister (way too unsophisticated/simple-minded for finance, and frankly an unworldly economic and trade spokesperson for the province), but he is a good retail politician with strong local roots and street smart. Easy hold.