Election Prediction Project

Ontario Provincial Election - 2022

Richmond Hill

Prediction Changed
2022-05-26 00:15:00

Constituency Profile



Bhushan, Raymond

Biouckzadeh, Ramtin

Farhadi, Roozbeh

Hoffman, Les

Nicanfar, Hasen

Rykova, Olga

Wai, Daisy

Daisy Wai

Population (2016):

Population (2011):108658

2018 Election Result: (Prediction Page)


2014 Election Result:
(Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton)

17,305 48.16%
12,842 35.74%
4,055 11.28%
1,166 3.25%
OTHERS 567 1.58%
Total Transposed 35,936
      Component Riding(s)

Richmond Hill
(95.91% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

(4.09% of voters in new riding)
2014/2011/2007 Predictions

2021 Federal Election Prediction

2019 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Majid Jowhari **
Costas Menegakis
Adam DeVita
Ichha Kohli
Igor Tvorogov
Otto Wevers

2015 Federal Election Result: (Prediction)

Majid Jowhari
Michael Parsa
Adam DeVita
Gwendolyn Veenema


29/05/2022 Tony Ducey
I believe Ford was in this riding over the past few days so maybe a close race in the offing here. I have Wai holding on here but maybe a close race to watch on June 2.
25/05/2022 KXS
Should be a PC lock with the way the polls are at the moment.
If the Tories are losing seats in the 905, it will be in Mississauga, Brampton, Ajax or Milton - not here.
29/04/2022 Bryan in Richmond Hill
It will be interesting to see if the recent EMZO to allow 67 highrise towers in the south end of the city (with no requirement for a proportion to be "affordable") will affect PC chances in Richmond Hill. The developers may be thrilled, but city council seems less than pleased and the suggestion of cronyism may not help the Tories here. The riding still appears to be leaning to Mr Ford's party, but the old cliche about campaigns holds truth.
28/04/22 LeftCoast
After del Duca's seat, this is one of the ones in York that I think is most likely to go Liberal, but right now I think the PCs should be able to hold on.
23/04/22 AD
I definitely think this will be closer than last election but LPO has a big gap to fill and I do not believe they will have enough of an effect to change the outcome of this riding.
05/04/22 A.S.
Keep in mind that Daisy Wai might have done even better in '18 were Reza Moridi not a relatively strong incumbent--but keep in mind, too, that this, maybe even more than King-Vaughan, was seen as the lowest-hanging Lib fruit in York Region for the federal Cons in '21, except that the Chinese electorate shifted Liberal when people weren't looking. A shift less likely provincially than federally (at least in a way that's meaningful--remember that the federal riding was *already* Liberal), though it's interesting that the Sino-Blue vs Iranian Red dynamic's repeating itself from '18.
04/04/22 R.O.
Daisy Wai was first elected here in 2018 when she beat liberal mpp Riza Moridi who was fairly well known in the riding. New liberal candidate is Roozbeh Farhadi who is not high profile and unclear who the ndp will run here but never been an ndp riding. Been a riding where the cpc was doing well federally and have a strong base of support but only ever once managed to win it in 2011. The provincial pc’s seem to do better in the 905 than the federal party.
30/03/22 seasaw
This is pretty much a bellwether 905 riding. The incumbent Daisy Wai has done a decent job. As things stand now, the PC’s are poised to win another term, if the NDP is to be in a position to form the government, then, this riding will become a toss up between the Liberals and the PC’s, but as things stand right now, it’s a PC hold.
15/01/22 Bryan in Richmond Hill
Richmond Hill toggles back and forth between Conservatives and Liberals, with the NDP never achieving much more than ten per cent, so this riding appears to be a toss-up. The incumbent, Daisy Wai, seems to be a decent individual, but has little influence on her government's policies. The perceived cronyism and the plans for highways through the greenbelt are not too popular here, but the Conservative brand remains strong nonetheless. Very close contest.

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Ontario Provincial Election - 2022
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