Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Port Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
20 February 2001 - 28 February 2001
Port Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Home
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| Friendly Reminder for concerned citizens/desperate political operatives of Port Coquitlam-Burke Mountain: Postings with no name (annoymous) will be posted, postings with inconsistant fake names will not. | |||
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19/02/01 | Randy W | Email: |
| A safe seat for the NDP. Mike Farnworth is popular. The Liberals here are facing bitter inner-fighting after a messy nomination of a rookie. Mike will take this | |||
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21/02/01 | EP | Email: |
| Farnworth will be re-elected, not so much because he is any good/strong/competent (okay perhaps a little competent compare with his cabinet colleagues), but because his Liberal opponent is so weak! Karn Manhas is one of those who rise too quickly without having to prove his commitment to the process. Aside from inexperience (that is an understatement actually, ignorant about politics would be more appropriate.) I met him personally in Victoria, and find him arrogant, insincere and opportunistic. This is a classic example of the Federal Young Liberal operatives striving too hard to gain importance in the party (and dominance over the young Reformer and young Tories), and overlook the poor quality of the candidate they support. | |||
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21/02/01 | Fred T | Email: |
| NDP Win. Farnworth is very popular. Karn Manhas is ignorant, arrogant and has caused lots of inner fighting within the Liberals | |||
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22/02/01 | Hardial Bhalli | Email:bhallih@fiberia.com |
| This will be a very tight race, but based on the numbers from last time I think Manhas will take it. What will make the difference is Karn's organization on the ground. These guys who post to complain about Karn winning the nomination miss the point that Karn won because he had a good team and was well organized. This talk of party infighting is irrelevant...average Joe Public will not give a rat's ass about it. This will be won by Karn on the ground. | |||
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22/02/01 | DSA | |
| The BC Liberals will win this seat. Incumbent Mike Farnworth has lost the respect of the voters after having been Minister of Gaming during the Casinogate scandal, several lacklustre performances as Minister of a revolving door of Ministries. He was recently demoted from a previous position as Minister of Health. The BC Liberals have elected a young, fresh candidate to be their representative who offers hope for some change. After a whopping win by 24 year old James Moore in this riding during the federal election, Karn Manhas, also 24 appeals to voters tired of the same old, scandal-ridden politicians. It will be a close race, but Karn should take it. | |||
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23/02/01 | Tri-Cities Observer | |
| The BC Liberals really managed to shoot themselves in the foot on this one. They had a very strong candidate ready to go in Marion Lochhead, but through their lax voting rules allowed Karn Manhas to come in and basically buy the nomination via junior high sign ups and out-of-riding voters. Manhas is easily the weakest candidate the Liberals have in their stable, not helpful in a riding where redistribution has cost the Liberals the best part of the riding for them in the Westwood Plateau. Farnworth will eat Manhas alive in the all-candidates meetings. Ironically, Farnworth would benefit from a Liberal sweep -- it will allow him to make a pitch for sending an experienced, opposition voice to Victoria, essentially making this into a by-election. With a decent showing from Unity BC leader-to-be Chris Delaney, watch for Farnworth to squeak out a win on election night, one of only about six NDPers who will do so... | |||
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23/02/01 | Susan | Email: sueharvey12@hotmail.com |
| If Chris Delaney wins the Unity/Reform(?) leadership, this riding will go NDP. Delaney will split the vote with Manhas, and Farnsworth will win. Farnsworth is a decent and hard working man, and he pretty much deserves to the MLA. "DSA" compared Manhas to local MP James Moore. Manhas is no Moore. The only thing they have in common is their age (24). Moore is an excellent speaker and he seems to be doing a really good job. I've talked to him twice and he is a very very smart guy. (can you tell I vote for him?) Manhas will have a hard time earning the same respect level people have for Moore. POCO will probably be an NDP win. (sadly) | |||
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26/02/01 | Email: | |
| Having campaigned extensively in this riding the last three federal elections and the previous provincial election, I'd have to say the B.C. Liberals have the edge here. Not only will the popularity of neighbouring MLA Christy Clark go a LONG way here, the Manhas family has strong roots in the area. Despite Mr. Manhas' age, he comes into the election having a much higher local profile than James Moore had coming into the federal election. It seems Manhas' candidacy, while accepted reluctantly at first by the party, is now being fully embraced, especially in light of his ability to put together an extremely effective team and broad based support for his nomination. The lack of both organizational skills and broad-based appeal of the other two BC Liberal candidates has been glaring. Admittedly, Farnsworth is one of the most popular (or should I say, Least Un-popular) of the NDP candidates which will make this a closer race than many others in the province. However, Manhas' on-ground organization will carry the day and will be able to deliver to more voters to the polls on e-day. | |||
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26/02/01 | A. | Email: |
| Scott Young, a well-known New Democrat and city councillor, just won the PoCo mayoral by-election by a wide margin, winning every poll except the mobile poll (where he tied). Farnworth (also a former PoCo city councillor) will be re-elected. | |||
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27/02/01 | Tiny Tim | Email: |
| Manhas is a seasoned campaigner, who understand the political and should be able to run an efficient campaign. He has roots and contacts with the Socreds, Tories and Liberals. Plus, the city of Port Coquitlam has grown 23% since the last election. These are all young couples, and semi-professionals. Don't expect them to vote NDP they all voted CA federally, and will appreciate a young candidate who understands them. Manhas makes strong 1st impressions and will earn the vote of every voter he gets a chance to personally contact. | |||
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27/02/01 | cowboy | Email: |
| The opinion that Farnworth will weather the slaughter of the NDP is absurd. Karn Manhas has the organization and the 'fire in the belly' to campaign Farnworth into the ground. His excellent grap of the issues, long standing in the community, and deep intelligence will prove to be the NDP candidate's demise. The people across the province have had enough of the socialist 'doublespeak' and Farnworth will not be able to distance himself from the scandal and corruption as was one of Clark's chief lieutenants and still has his nose in the pork barrel under Dosanjh. You cannot compare Mr. Manhas to James Moore as they are entirely different styles of politics but you can give similarities on their commitment and love of their community. | |||
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28/02/01 | Collin | Email: |
| This type of bad projection is what happens when someone who has spent the last few years in Ontario is doing the projections. The demographics of this riding have changed significantly in the past few years. This traditional blue collar riding has flooded with young, urban professionals who won't vote NDP. Farnworth is dead in the water. He has been so tarnished by this corrupt and scandal ridden government that the Liberals could run a pig in this riding and win. Fortunately, the Liberals have a great candidate in Karn Manhas. He is young, personable and intelligent. His organization and extensive community connections will prevail. | |||
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28/02/01 | DV_poco | Email: |
| Farnworth will win,he is very popular,he appeals to people right across the political spectrum,he has a solid record in the community.Unlike the liberal who is not from poco,and has very little profile,Farnworth has grown up here,and has a very solid base of support,and is probabley one of the few New Democrats worth re electing. | |||