Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

United Kingdom General Election - 2009/10

West Dunbartonshire


Prediction Changed
2010-05-06 23:09:09
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Labour Party
Gemma Doyle
Scottish National Party
Graeme McCormick
Liberal Democrats
Helen Watt
Socialist Labour Party
Katharine McGavigan
Conservative Party
Martyn McIntyre
UK Independence Party
Mitchell Sorbie

Incumbent:
Rt Hon John McFall
West Dunbartonshire (100 %)

Electorate:
Current
71710
2005
67805

Transposed 2005 Result:
Source: Electoral Calculus
21600
2679
5999
9047
Other
2264

 


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10 04 06 Safe Bets
204.9.162.70
Labour racked up some 10K+ margin here in the last election. It would require some catastrophic circumstances for them to lose this seat. Gordon Brown and the Labour party appear to have moved past its worst poll numbers and are regaining some ground. While they may not win the election, it is reasonable to expect safe seats like this one to return to the Labour fold.



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