Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Prince Edward-Hastings


Prediction Changed
2014-05-03 22:34:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Payne, Anita

Smith, Todd

Stewart, Merrill

Thompson, Georgina

Incumbent:
Todd Smith

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Prince Edward-Hastings)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    TODD SMITH
    1881642.28%
    * LEONA DOMBROWSKY
    1568635.25%
    SHERRY HAYES
    737916.58%
    TREAT HULL
    20494.6%
    NEAL FORD
    2570.58%
    ANDREW SKINNER
    2010.45%
    TRUEMAN TUCK
    1150.26%
    2007 Result:
    * LEONA DOMBROWSKY
    20,96346.36%
    ERIC DENOUDEN
    14,84032.82%
    JODIE JENKINS
    6,28713.90%
    JIM ARKILANDER
    2,6635.89%
    VITO LUCENO
    2970.66%
    TRUEMAN TUCK
    1660.37%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    2444755.16%
    1375031.02%
    458810.35%


  •  


    Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

    14 06 10 A.S.
    99.231.139.81
    Leona D. got fairly readily D-spatched in '11; though in a way, she was always a class-of-99 Liberal fluke (even if redistribution, by adding the Loyalist-Liberal stronghold Belleville, remedied that a touch). But notwithstanding Belleville (or the increasingly wild-cardish through Hogtown-expatriate-ism Prince Edward County, where a local candidate led to Green overachieving in '11), now that PC is in, it looks set to stay--too much unbudgeable Hillierite hinterland north of the Quinte zone. Oh, and unlike Lou Rinaldi next door, Leona's not running again.
    14 05 22 Alice
    67.70.86.233
    If the Liberals were to break into rural Ontario again this would be one of the early ridings to flip. However I just don't see that happening at this point. PCs retain.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    The PCs won by 7 points last time around when running against a popular cabinet minister so if they could win under those conditions, they should have little difficulty winning this time around.
    13 05 14 Keen Observer
    192.75.172.1
    If Todd Smith could knock off a sitting cabinet minister with a lackluster central campaign, I don't believe there is any chance of the Liberals winning back this seat. Look for a larger margin of victory for Todd.
    13 02 24 LFC Ottawa
    70.30.20.189
    This was a race to watch in 2011 when Todd Smith took down the minister of education. This time he will win it easily.



    Navigate to Ontario 2014 Home | Regional Index | Submission

    Ontario Provincial Election - 2014
    Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
    © Justice Quest Communications, 1999-2014 - Email Webmaster