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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Thornhill


Prediction Changed
2017-12-06 00:03:06
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 


Incumbent(s):
    Thornhill
   Gila Martow

   (100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):110427


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

16688 43.28%
17228 44.68%
3089 8.01%
922 2.39%
OTHERS 631 1.64%
Total Transposed 38557

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Thornhill

16688
17228
3089
922
Others631
Total Transposed38557


Federal Election Result (2015):

Peter Kent **
3191158.60%
Nancy Coldham
1839533.80%
Lorne Cherry
28145.20%
Josh Rachlis
6271.20%
Gene Balfour
5871.10%
Margaret Leigh Fairbairn
1570.30%


 

03/01/2018 seasaw
99.225.226.230
The PC's are strong in this riding and Gila Martow is popular, but I wouldn't call this one for the PC's yet. It was very close the last time and everybody assumes that the PC's can't run a worse campaign than the last. You never know though, Brown's 2018 campaign might make Hudak's 2014 campaign look fabulous. If that happens, there's no way the PC's can hold on, otherwise they'll hold. Let's call it TCTC for now, I will revisit this riding when it's closer to election time
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
Maybe not as strongly Tory as is federally as this was the Tories best showing in Ontario in 2015. Much of that was due to their strong pro-Israel stance in this riding with a large Jewish population. Nonetheless if the PCs could hold this in 2014, cannot see them losing this time around even if they fall short provincially.
11/12/2017 Andy
99.228.49.27
A PC walk, no contest. Gila Martow is quite popular and the liberal brand has been very weak in this riding for many previous elections.
04/12/2017
99.228.104.19
If Gila Martow and the PCs managed to squeak a win in a horrible election for the PCs in 2014, the Liberals are super unpopular now. Easy hold.



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