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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Etobicoke North


Prediction Changed
2018-01-14 23:44:08
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Amin, Mahamud


Incumbent(s):
    Etobicoke North
   Shafiq Qaadri

   (94.68% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Etobicoke Centre
   Yvan Baker

   (5.32% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):117601


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

13322 45.65%
6579 22.54%
7493 25.67%
708 2.43%
OTHERS 1083 3.71%
Total Transposed 29184

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Etobicoke North

12168
6163
7103
677
Others987
Total Transposed27098

     Etobicoke Centre

1154
416
390
31
Others96
Total Transposed2086


Federal Election Result (2015):

Kirsty Duncan **
2625162.40%
Toyin Dada
967323.00%
Faisal Hassan
522012.40%
Akhtar Ayub
5241.20%
Anna Di Carlo
2320.60%
George Szebik
1640.40%


 

29/12/2017 seasaw
99.225.226.230
This is a pretty safe Liberal riding, that's not saying that the Tories have absolutely no chance here. The Tories will need a big surge in support in the 416 area and even then, they're about 14 ridings that can go Tory before this one. While it's possible and maybe probable, we have to call this as it stands today and probably till the end of the election. So Liberal hold
13/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
Had the PCs run Doug Ford, they might have had a shot as this is the heart of the Ford Nation, but otherwise this is one of the safest Liberal ridings in the province and the PCs unless they have a Ford surname are never really a factor here. However, by not choosing Doug Ford as candidate it probably cost them this riding, but helped them in many others as he is an easy one for the Liberals to attack which would have hurt the PCs elsewhere.



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