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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018

Scarborough-Rouge Park


Prediction Changed
2017-12-16 20:21:29
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Samuel, Felicia

Thanigasalam, Vijay


Incumbent(s):
    Pickering-Scarborough East
   Hon Tracy MacCharles

   (45.60% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Scarborough-Rouge River
   Raymond Sung Joon Cho

   (40.50% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions
    Scarborough-Guildwood
   Hon Mitzie Hunter

   (13.90% of voters in new riding)
   2014/2008 Predictions


Reference:
Population (2011):102646


2014 Election Result:
Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton

18140 47.98%
9290 24.57%
9035 23.90%
856 2.26%
OTHERS 488 1.29%
Total Transposed 37810

Component Riding(s) & Votes Transposed

    Pickering-Scarborough East

10509
5141
2906
494
Others291
Total Transposed19341

     Scarborough-Rouge River

4901
2684
5249
142
Others108
Total Transposed13083

     Scarborough-Guildwood

2731
1466
880
220
Others90
Total Transposed5386


Federal Election Result (2015):

Gary Anandasangaree
2991360.20%
Leslyn Lewis
1358727.40%
KM Shanthikumar
514510.40%
Calvin Winter
10102.00%


 

21/12/2017 Gabbith
75.98.19.133
This should be too close to call. Brown's made significant inroads with Tamils, who are a large portion of the riding. The PC candidate is a local Tamil youth leader who should make inroads in Malvern. The South part of the riding will easily go PC with current polling numbers.
15/12/2017 M. Lunn
174.7.110.151
This is a fairly safe Liberal riding and should stay Liberal unless the NDP experiences the type of surge they do in Scarborough as in 2011 federally. The PCs could get in the low 30s, but that is their ceiling so only strong splits would allow them to win. So unless polls change dramatically I am calling this for the Liberals.



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Ontario Provincial Election - 2018
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