Bagnell, Larry
	Lemphers, Justin
	Morris, Lenore
	Smith, Jonas Jacot
	Zelezny, Joseph
Incumbent:
	Larry Bagnell

References:

Population (2016): Population (2011): Private dwellings: Dwellings occupied by usual residents: Land area Population Density			35874 33897 17987 15215 474712.68 km² 0.1/km²
2015 Results - 2015 Prediction    Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)
	Larry Bagnell	10887	53.70%
	Ryan Leef **	4928	24.30%
	Melissa Atkinson	3943	19.40%
	Frank de Jong	533	2.60%
2011 Results (redistributed)
		5422	33.77%
		2308	14.37%
		5290	32.95%
		3037	18.91%
Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)
Yukon    (100% of voters in current riding)    2011/2008/2004 Predictions    Reference - Pundits’ Guide

	20/10/19	207.189.237.140
Will be closer than 2015 but Larry should be on top Monday night. Lots of signs for Green and NDP but I don't thing it will translate in votes. Jonas could slip by and finish first with 34% of the votes. Larry devrait finir premier lundi soir. Beaucoup d'affiche du NPD et des Verts à Whitehorse mais je ne pense pas que ça se transformera en vote. Jonas pourrait glisser entre les votes de gauches et finir premier avec 34% des votes.
	19/10/19	North of Ottawa Centre 70.55.184.44
At this late stage before Monday it's fair to keep this as a Liberal predition, but is Yukon actually in play now given late shifts and margin of error? ‘The latest DataPath Systems poll conducted between Saturday and Wednesday found Liberal Larry Bagnell running at 34 percent. The NDP's Justin Lemphers and Conservative Jonas Smith were close behind at 29 and 28 percent respectively’ http://www.ckrw.com/news/local-news/yukon-poll-numbers-released/?fbclid=IwAR0oLVnB_dOE2VtLK1NilCtr7XFZB4qnTTTO7U2YlOynYMFN7CkXQ3-zBwM
	01/09/19	A.S. 99.225.32.21
What was interesting in 2015 was how former GPO leader Frank De Jong totally bombed as a Green candidate in a riding where the party got 19% the previous election. Right now, Bagnell seems the sort who could conceivably endure even if the Libs were reduced to 9 seats, Audrey-style--*conceivably*. Though not guaranteed, as 2011 proved...
	22/03/19	Islander 24.108.22.75
2011 was a bizarre instance where all candidates on the ballot have since been elected to either provincial or federal office. (Seriously. John Streicker and Kevin Barr have both been elected to the Yukon legislature as Liberal and NDP candidates repectively, with Streicker even defeating Barr in his riding in 2016.) With the NDP and Greens having run apparently electable candidates and with the Liberals being in a meltdown, that was a perfect storm case for the Conservatives to win, as they barely gained anything. That likely isn't going to happen this time, so I'd expect the usual Liberal hold.
	18/03/19	Laurence Putnam 50.68.187.24
Bagnell is a strange guy. But up in the Yukon, he's THEIR strange guy. He should win re-election without any difficulty.
	02/03/19	Sam 86.153.36.235
This is definitely the safest of the territories for the Liberals - they only lost it in their 2011 disaster. Given that Larry Bagnell, generally a great fit for the riding, is running again, it's hard to see the Liberals losing given the fact they are doing far better than in 2011.
	21/02/19	COAST TO COAST TO COAST 99.226.134.34
Yukon is definitely the safest Liberal seat from the 3 northern territories. Even with the 2011 blowout, Larry Bagnell only lost his seat by just over 100 votes. In 2015 he reclaimed it by almost 6,000 votes. Easy Liberal hold here.