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Bécancour-Nicolet-Saurel
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-10 21:53:11
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Blanchette, André

Caisse, Yanick

Gauvin, Catherine

Pettersen, Eric

Plamondon, Louis

Rochefort, Nathalie

Turcotte, David


Incumbent:

Louis Plamondon

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

94588
93779

46417
42919

2749.31 km²
34.40/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Louis Plamondon 2965356.70%
Nathalie Rochefort 933217.80%
Pierre-André Émond 843416.10%
Carole Lennard 27325.20%
David Turcotte 16973.20%
Richard Synnott 4890.90%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Louis Plamondon ** 2087140.00%
Claude Carpentier 1266624.30%
Nicolas Tabah 1153122.10%
Yves Laberge 595511.40%
Corina Bastiani 11822.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

647813.03%
1770535.60%
502410.10%
1904638.30%
14792.97%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Bas-Richelieu-Nicolet-Bécancour
   (100% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


25/08/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Louis Plamondon has been mp for this riding since 1984 which seems hard to believe but he was first elected as a pc mp when Mulroney PM. a longtime bloc Quebecois riding so likely hold but kind of surprised he ran again this year.
15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Ho hum, yet another slam-dunk go-around for Plamondon. That aside, what's interesting here is the Lib-CPC tug-of-war for 2nd--reflecting the riding's intersticiality btw/ Greater Montreal and Greater Quebec. (Naturally, the Montreal end favoured the Libs, the Quebec end favoured the Cons. And the Montreal end was actually better for the Bloc through ‘Sorel-Tracy industriousness’, while the Quebec end was Bloc-softer due to spillover rural Con dynamic from adjacent ridings.)
09/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Âgé de 77 ans, élu depuis plus de 36 ans, Plamondon a confirmé en décembre dernier qu’il serait candidat bloquiste dans sa circonscription de Bécancour?Nicolet?Saurel aux prochaines élections. Si tel est le cas, victoire assurée du Bloc.



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