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Terrebonne
2021 Federal Election ~ Élections fédérales


Prediction Changed
2021-05-24 14:12:31
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:



Boudrias, Michel

Desjardins, Frédérick

Forget, Eric

Fortin-Dubé, Nathan

Hamelin- Schuilenburg, David

Mayba, Luke

Sinclair-Desgagné, Nathalie

Stinziani, Louis


Incumbent:

Michel Boudrias

References:
Population (2016):
Population (2011):

Private dwellings:
Dwellings occupied by usual residents:

Land area
Population Density

111575
106322

42622
41801

154.12 km²
723.90/km²


2019 Results - 2019 Prediction

Michel Boudrias 3102950.60%
Frédéric Beauchemin 1794429.30%
France Gagnon 46407.60%
Maxime Beaudoin 46277.50%
Réjean Monette 22773.70%
Jeffrey Barnes 3990.70%
Paul Vézina 2600.40%
Jade Hébert 1590.30%


2015 Results - 2015 Prediction
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep. Order)

Michel Boudrias 1923833.00%
Michèle Audette 1631628.00%
Charmaine Borg ** 1492825.60%
Michel Surprenant 661511.30%
Susan Moen 10161.70%
Louis Clément Sénat 1710.30%


2011 Results (redistributed)

40118.07%
2562651.54%
34416.92%
1530330.78%
13392.69%


Component Riding(s) (2003 Representation Order)


   Montcalm
   (50.1% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


   Terrebonne-Blainville
   (49.9% of voters in current riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide


07/09/21 R.O.
24.146.13.237
Somewhat of an odd race here as the former bloc mp Michael Boudrais is running as an independent . replaced by a new bloc candidate Nathalie Desgagne . riding has a long bloc Quebecois history so seems likely to stay bloc even with the nomination issues and new candidate.
19/08/21 Marco Ricci
174.114.237.78
BQ MP Michel Boudrias, who lost the BQ nomination to new candidate Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagnأ©, announced that he will run as an Independent. This may cost the BQ some votes, but probably not enough to cost them the seat.
https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1817199/michel-boudrias-bloc-presente-independant-terrebonne-sinclair-desgagnes
15/08/21 A.S.
99.225.52.35
Yet another case of a class-of-'15 Bloc seat turning majority in '19--except here, the Libs managed to keep things within the 2:1 zone, possibly reflecting token bordering-on-Laval moderation.
22/05/21 J.F. Breton
38.23.227.9
Territoire nationaliste et caquiste par excellence. Terreau fertile pour le Bloc Québécois dans la couronne nord de Montréal. Peu de risque pour le député en place.



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