1999 Ontario Provincial Election
Riding-by-Riding Prediction
Sault Ste. Marie

Current Prediction:
Riding Profile:

Candidates:
Liberal Party:
Terry Sheehan
Progressive Conservative Party:
James Caicco
New Democratic Party:
Tony Martin MPP
Natural Law Party:
Colleen Hibbs

Incumbent (old riding composition):
Sault Ste. Marie (99%):
Tony Martin

Member of Parliament:
Carmen Provenzano

Surrounding Ridings:
Algoma-Manitoulin

Misc:
Population: 81 476
Avg Household Income 41 876
Language (Home)
English 74 710
Submitted Information
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02/16/99 Jeff Paul Email: jdpaul@julian.uwo.ca
Much to my own dismay, this has to be the prediction for the purpose of an academic study. The battle here is clearly between the Liberals and the NDP, but the Liberals have not won the riding provincially in 60 years. Further, the Liberals are battling over 2 candidates, one who has a lot of negative baggage, and another who is probably too young to win the riding. Look for Tony Martin's team to be in rare form and the NDP to spend a lot of money in the riding as it attempts to maintain it's party status in the legislature.
03/09/99 A. Jackson Email: jacksona@adan.kingston.net
Clearly Tony Martin will win this riding. There is almost a sense in Sault Ste. Marie that Mr. Martin would win regardless of his party. Tony has a history of helping and caring and the riding knows him like a neighbour. In a sense, if Tony Martin loses this riding, the Sault loses.
04/01/99 A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com
This is by far the easiest riding for anyone to deal with after redistribution--it just about precisely coordinates with the old provincial boundaries! Martin's first election in '90 was a far closer call than one might expect, but that was when the Soo was caught up in language wars (and the English-rights Confederation of Regions got over 20%, its best provincial result). All the good that Bob Rae did for Algoma Steel has pretty much sewn things up for the NDP, though.
05/30/99 Brad Nicpon Email: nicpon@execulink.com
Even with NDP support being relatively low province wide, if there are any "safe" NDP seats, this is one of them. Barring a total disaster in the last four days of campaigning I can't see this one going any other way. Chances are the liberals won't even make an impressive showing.

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Last Updated 27th May 1999

© 1999 Milton Chan, University of Waterloo
This site is maintained by Milton Chan