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Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
6:44 PM 6/25/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
11:35 AM 6/27/2004

Constituency Profile
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Frank Chilelli
Raminder Gill
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Gurbax Malhi
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Sharleen McDowall
Fernando Miranda

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Bramalea-Gore-Malton-Springdale (100.0%)
Hon. Gurbax Malhi

2000 Result/Résultats:
18,331 56.04%
6,178 18.89%
5,316 16.25%
1,637 5.00%
1,251 3.82%

(174/189 polls, 67695/78387 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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22/06/04 Harpinder
Email: [hidden]
From my sense there is a great deal of anger at Malhi in the Indian community in Malton and Castlemore. He has failed to deliver. While he might have many lawn signs, many of those are placed at homes without permission. Right now, Gill is more popular.
Last night's debate demonstrated Malhi's poor grasp of english and his party's policies. It will not play well.
21/06/04 Full Name
Email: youngreformers@yahoo.ca
Raminder Gill is one of those also-ran Ontario PC MPPs who will be a key part of the BradGate Committee has it in the bag because Gurbax Malhi is forced by the party to float and disappear like a ghost around Bramalea-Gore-Malton. Raminder misses Springdale though, after making so many good friends there, redistribution has hurt hearts as well as heads and this riding is no different, despite feeling good about this election unlike most. Gill was one of the greatest backbenchers but now with free votes he will be just another MP like every other one and for those watching OLA, I wonder if he ever got the grease off of his seat, suit and undershirt - what an immature prank by his compatriots.
21/06/04 Doreen
Email: [hidden]
I see lot of Gill signs. His campaign seems to have lot of volunteers. He has the momentum. I have checked stats. Malhi would have lost 2 out of 3 last elections.
10/06/04 Paul
Email: [hidden]
Malhi would have lost in 1993, 1997 if right had united. In 2000 he was up against weak candidates Gurdish Mangat, who just got arrested for Grow House, and Danny Warraich who lost nomination this time. Malhi should have saved face and retired long ago. Exit now....Gill comes from a pioneer family, is well eduacated having Bachelors and Masters degree in Engineering from University of Toronto. His wife is a doctor.Kids are in University. He has an excellent record as an MPP where he brought forward the largest hospital in Canada to the riding. He deserves to win.
03/06/04 Rob
Email: [hidden]
I think Malhi has the edge right now on lawn sign, although Gill is not far behind. This is no surprise since Malhi is likeable enough. I think this will be a close race to the finish.
24/05/04 intial
Email: [hidden]
This riding will go to Liberal fold this time again. Due to recent provincial elections conservative's candidates Raminders recent defeated in this riding and popularty of cp candiate is not that much campare to hard work done by lib candiate Malhi during last ten years of serving BGM. There's also possiblity for split in community votes. At end most likey lib can hold this riding. Mostly areas from Malton and springdale goes to liberal even most part of bramalea also goes to lib as seen in last elections.
23/05/04 A.S.
Email: adma@interlog.com
Don't be fooled by the high Reform vote in 1993; it was as much a backlash to Malhi's being a turbanned Sikh as anything. If the backlash had virtually vanished by 2000, it's because voters had gotten used to Malhi and the Liberals. (And add to that the demos moving to Malhi's favour--hey, even the Alliance candidate was a turbanned Sikh, and the PC was "of colour"!) With his Queen's Park record, Rami Gill's as good as it gets for the Tories here; and he's a more "Westernized" (i.e. turbanless) face of Sikhdom. But that doesn't mean he's great, even if he's the most likely Gurmant Grewal or Deepak Obhrai equivalent in the 905...
13/04/04 BMS
Email: [hidden]
This riding is definitly a likely Conservative pickup. In 1993, the riding "Bramalea-Gore-Malton" was one of the 25 Ontario ridings the Progressive Conservatives would have kept if they didn't vote-split with the Reform Party, beating the Liberals with 1,000 votes. In 1997, the vote was split again but would have still beat the Liberals by about 700 votes. However, in 2000, the riding was re-named "Bramalea-Gore-Malton-Springdale" and the vote didn't split. However, that was from Liberal votes in Springdale and since then, the riding has been re-drawn to disclude Springdale. Not only that but with the personal popularity of former MPP Raminder Gill, it just doesn't look good here for the Liberal incumbent.
29/03/04 Crazy Bill
Email: [hidden]
Gill will win. Springdale is gone from the riding now and that was one of Malhi's strongholds. Malton has always voted Liberal, but I think Brampton's convservative voters will prove too strong. A close CP win, but still a win.
29/03/04 Dave
With Liberal scandals and Raminder Gill working hard, definitely going to be surprise upset. Gill will take it hands down.Malhi is a week candidate and has only won by default.
28/03/04 BGM
Gill is more popular than ever. He has strong support in mainstream population. People are fed up with Malhi. They want change.
23/03/04 MC
Email: [hidden]
This riding has a unique dynamic to it. The main support for Gurbax Malhi and Raminder Gill are the same. In the provincial election it was the same with the Liberals taking the seat. Raminder served BGM well in his years as MPP, but I cant see anything else happening other than a Liberal squeeker.
15/03/04 905er
The battle between Raminder Gill (former M.P.P.) and Gurbax Mahli makes this one interesting. It will yet again divide the Sikh community in the area and be a tense fight. In the end, the Liberals will hold here as Gill's base has significantly deflated.

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