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Constituency Profile
Candidates:
| New Democratic Austin, Katy |
| Green Ellis, Peter |
| Conservative Guergis, Helena |
| Liberal Matrosovs, Andrea |
| Libertarian McKibbin, Caley |
| Christian Heritage Vander Zaag, Peter |
Incumbent: |
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Hon. Helena Guergis |
2006 Result:
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| 07 10 13 |
24.81.18.126 |
Helena Guergis has really been a rising MP and Cabinet Minister. She will get re-elected due to her activeness in the riding, as well as the ‘Guergis’ name recognition (the Guergis family has a long history of politics in the Simcoe area). Also, the Liberals are running, Matrosovs, a candidate with little name recognition and experience in politics. Guergis won with almost 50% landslide in 2006; I cannot see her losing this one anytime soon. |
| 07 05 27 |
A.S. 74.99.222.209 |
No longer facing Paul Bonwick, and no longer stigmatized as a city-slicker parachute (thus neutralizing the CHP counterstrike a notch), Guergis in '06 came a quarter point short of hitting the precious 50% post--looks like back to solid-federal-Tory business as usual for Simcoe-Grey, after a GTAish spell of flirting with Paul Martin being just Tory enough for the Blue Mountaineers and exurbanites and country-estate crowd. (Paradoxically, the Bonwick-less Liberals still managed better results in Collingwood than Bonwick himself managed vs Reform in '97!) And now, Guergis has governing-party and cabinet as a ribbon on the package. An alternate reflection of what's happened to traditional Simcoe Toryism: the Green vote went up past 5.5%--solid above-average for Ontario, and even it's lower than what the other Simcoe seats managed... |
| 07 04 01 |
24.81.18.126 |
Minister Helena Guergis has been visible and hard working in this riding, not to mention in Ottawa where she fulfills her duty in her respective portfolio. 2004, she won by a 100 vote margin, but in 2006, this increased to about 11 000. Paint this riding deep blue. |
| 07 03 24 |
RF 74.120.155.163 |
Helena has taken this riding twice. If this went CPC in 2004, and Helena is a cabinet minister, take this one to the bank for the Tories. |
| 07 03 24 |
M. Lunn 74.99.130.109 |
Helena Guergis won by 10,000 votes and if the Tories fall behind, I cannot see them losing this one. Simcoe North is a mix of Liberal strongholds like Tiny, Penetanguishene in the North and more Conservative areas to the South like Severn, Ramara, Orillia, and Oro-Medonte. On the other hand, Simcoe-Grey is solidly conservative throughout the riding. |
| 07 03 24 |
G. Kennedy (not that one) 70.48.5.165 |
Guergis won this by more than 11,000 votes last time and now she's a hard-working minister. And this is one of the safest Conservative ridings in the province. EASY hold. |
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