Prediction Changed
8:20 PM 06/05/2007

Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Simcoe North
Ontario Provincial Election - 2007



Constituency Profile

Candidates:
Liberal
DOMSY, LAURA
Progressive Conservative
DUNLOP, GARFIELD
New Democratic
HILL, ANDREW
No Affiliation
RAYBOULD, DANE-TRAIN
Green
VARCOE, WAYNE

Incumbent:
Simcoe North (99.8%)
Garfield Dunlop
Simcoe-Grey (0.2%)
Jim Wilson

2003 Result (redistributed):
17539
38.28%
20615
44.99%
5494
11.99%




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07 10 03 Nick J Boragina
74.14.23.192
My father lives in this riding, and it’s perhaps not as right-wing as it once was. Many older people have taken up residence here, some living in their old cottages, others just moving to the cottage area, to get away from Toronto in their golden years. Unlike the stereotype of the bitter conservative old man, most of our modern senior citizens are concerned with social spending. The Liberals will pose a challenge here, but it wont be enough. The Tories have the edge.
07 09 09 A.S.
74.99.222.209
This was a more serious Liberal target in '99 than in '03, believe it or not--an open seat thanks to the Al McLean 'scandal', and with Midland's mayor as the candidate. Now, it's an ex-Green Liberal in the running (she ran in Oakville federally in '06). Somehow, given the fate of other Greens-turned-Liberals (notably Tom Manley in SDSG), I'd approach that fact with trepidation.
07 05 05 M. Lunn
74.99.130.109
Even though Garfield Dunlop is one of the more right wing members, he seems to have little trouble winning here no matter how well his party does. Although this has areas like Penetanguishene that generally go Liberal, Orillia and Oro-Medonte easily cancel this out.



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