Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2011

Prince George-Peace River

Prediction Changed
2009-08-26 14:08:00

Constituency Profile


Boone, Lois

Coté, Jeremy

Crowley, Hilary

Levine, Ben

Zimmer, Bob

Hon. Jay Hill

Previous Prediction/result

  • 2008 Prediction
  • 2006 Prediction
  • 2004 Prediction
  • 2000 Prediction
  • prince-george-bulkley-valley (36/206 Polls)
  • prince-george-peace-river (188/188 Polls)
  • Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide


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    11 04 03 Crucible
    Bob Zimmer has replaced Jay Hill in this strong Conservative riding. His is young, enthusiastic and well supported by the party. He speaks well and has a good command of the issues. He should easily take this riding yet again for the CPC. The NDP candidate Lois Boone will probably place a distant second. She knows the riding well, especially the Prince George are due to her long service as an MLA and a local member of the school board. The Liberals will not do well and will fight the Greens for the bottom. Green Candidate Hilary Crowley has run several times previously, but is unlikely to make any headway in this area in which the economy is based on both renewable and non-renewable resource extraction.
    11 04 01 Nick J ‘Teddy’ Boragina
    The NDP win Prince George? Maybe. The NDP win Peace River? Never. The Tories will hold on.
    11 03 30 M. Lunn
    The areas east of the Rockies are more like Alberta in their political culture than BC. This includes the two BC ridings to vote for the BC Reform Party in the 1996 election. Jay Hill has never had any difficulty winning this and I am sure neither will his successor.
    10 10 24 R.O.
    Jay Hill has moved on and given up the job of government house leader , he is also leaving the job of mp for Prince George - Peace River as well . so there could be a by-election here or the seat may sit empty until the next election if one were to happen early next year. so far no candidates have been chosen by the opposition parties for the riding. conservatives don't have one yet either although up to 6 people have expressed interest in the nomination with some of them having strong backgrounds in local municipal politics. although the seat should stay conservative its not likely they will take things for granted here without Jay Hill on the ballot.
    09 08 26 Sean P.F.
    Rural British Columbia is Conservative Country. While they have lost ground in Skeena-Bulkley Valley and BC Southern Interior, every other riding is a safe Conservative victory.
    09 08 25 wyatt
    With almost 64% of the vote in '08, there's no way Hill will lose the seat.

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