Election Prediction Project
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Ontario Provincial Election - 2014

Hamilton Centre


Prediction Changed
2013-02-16 14:35:00
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Horwath, Andrea

Mann, Bob

Ormond, Peter

Tiqui-Shebib, Donna

Vail, John

Incumbent:
Andrea Horwath

Reference:

  • Pundits’ Guide – Ontario (Hamilton Centre)
  • 2011 Provincial Election Prediction
  • 2011 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2008 Federal Election Prediction
  • 2007 Provincial Election Prediction


    2011 Result:

    * ANDREA HORWATH
    2058661.33%
    DONNA TIQUI-SHEBIB
    586117.46%
    DON SHEPPARD
    442113.17%
    PETER ORMOND
    12493.72%
    ROBERT KUHLMANN
    6341.89%
    MICHAEL BALDASARO
    2680.8%
    STEVEN PASSMORE
    2290.68%
    CHRIS LAWSON
    1300.39%
    ANTHONY GRACEY
    1220.36%
    ROBERT SZAJKOWSKI
    670.2%
    2007 Result:
    * ANDREA HORWATH
    17,17644.72%
    STEVE RUDDICK
    11,09628.89%
    CHRIS ROBERTSON
    5,67314.77%
    PETER ORMOND
    3,6109.40%
    LYNNE SCIME
    5501.43%
    BOB MANN
    3020.79%

    2003 Result (redistributed):

    1511642.34%
    654418.33%
    1194233.45%


  •  


    Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

    14 05 21 A.S.
    99.233.52.111
    Andrea's 2011 result was mindboggling--even on the Mountain, she was lingering around the 50% mark. But keep in mind that given the 2014 O-Grits vs O-Dippers dynamic, if an innerurban seat like this were anywhere else, it'd be on 'Yasir Naqvi Liberal' radar. But it *is* Hamilton, it *is* Andrea, and the Liberal label around these parts is still tarred by slimy shenanigans of one sort or another, a far cry from 'Wynne cosmopolitanism'.
    14 05 05 R.O.
    24.146.23.226
    Very urban riding that includes downtown Hamilton areas and is Andrea Horwath’s home riding , will more than likely stay with the ndp for time being .
    14 05 05 Dr Bear
    173.248.195.124
    To the other candidates, unless the NDP numbers tank, just stay home. Andrea has this one in the bag. Unless the Liberals suddenly start looking amazing, the NDP will win this hands down. As for the PCs, the locals only know of the grocery brand; focus on winnable ridings elsewhere.
    14 05 04 monkey
    174.114.16.226
    Her decision to pull the plug may have seen silly and depending on the results may cost her the leadership, but rest assured, she is loved in her local riding and will easily carry it no matter what happens elsewhere in the province.
    13 02 13 Angry Ontarian
    24.141.139.143
    Andrea Horvath is extremely popular in this riding, and has a favourable impression among Ontario voters. Not only will she win here but will probably have her best showing yet.



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