Election Prediction Project

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Brampton West

Prediction Changed
2015-07-15 15:32:58

Constituency Profile


Gobinath, Karthika

Khera, Kamal

Patterson, Adaoma

Thind, Ninder

(2011 census)


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

Other 2010.71%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant

   Brampton West
   (152/152 polls, 100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

Kyle Seeback


Put your political/campaign ad here! Replace it with your campaign ad! See sponsorship details.

15 09 30 R.O.
This open riding hasn't got much attention and features all new candidates , none that have ran federally before. Kamal Khera is new liberal candidate , Ninder Thind is conservative candidate and Adaoma Patterson is ndp , neither I would describe as high profile in peel region. Well Brampton west was solidly liberal from 93-2011 , the conservatives did find a way to win here in 2011. It still appears to be a riding that could go either way at this point as there is no incumbent
15 09 27 Geo
This is another riding where the prediction doesn't match the data. This will be Conservative. But it depends how the election turns out is there is around three weeks left and polls continue to show a close race.
15 08 11 Ahsan Zia
To me Liberal candidate Kamal Khera is the most favorite. Reason for my opinion is? when this riding splitted, Kyle seeback's most riding area divided into Brampton West but instead of contesting Brampton West he chose Brampton South. This shows he felt his position weak in Brampton West. Most of the polls are with Kamal Khera. She is very energetic, contacting voters door to door, whereas Ninder Thind is emphasizing only on community guys. I don't see Ninder Thind knocking the doors, to win this election she should contact other communities as well.
I don't know what happens afterwards but right now it looks like this riding belongs Liberals.
15 08 04 R.O.
I'm not sure why this riding was called as we don't even have a full slate of candidates in the riding so hard to get a feel for what race is going to be like as its an open riding . The conservatives did win this riding in 2011 although its been redistributed much since then and current mp is running in another riding. Until we know who the conservatives are running here its difficult to make an official prediction .
15 08 03 A.S.
Funny how it's escaped mention that former Brampton West Liberal MP Andrew Kania was in talks to run for the Conservatives here--don't know anything further on that front; but in any case, the seat's been pared down to boomburbia essentials (i.e. only a few isolated corners of 'burb even *existed* prior to Y2K), and thus it's altogether a bit of a wild card. Worth noting too: in the last provincial election, the far-west Brampton reverb from JagmeetSinghMania led the PCs to barely eke out 2nd place over the ONDP--and what strength the Tories had tended to be in Old Brampton, not here. Kania's got name recognition, should he be the candidate--but if he were, he should mind the fate of another Bramptonian red-to-blue switcher: former Ontario Grit MPP Carman McClelland, who bombed as a provincial PC in 2007. Which may be beside the point federally; but still, Jason Kenney-style ethnoburban strategy will have to work in overdrive here.
15 03 28 Jack Cox
Kyle Seeback, the incumbent Tory MP for this riding has decided to move to the more tory friendly Brampton South, which leaves the Liberals first out of the gate in this riding with Kamal Khera, a registered nurse and I think the Liberals are going to pick up this riding with the way they are currently situated in recent polling.

Navigate to Canada 2015 Home | Provincial Index | Submission

Canada Federal Election - 2015
Election Prediction Project/Projet D'Élection Prévision - www.electionprediction.com
© Justice Quest Communications, 1999-2015 - Email Webmaster