Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.com

Canada Federal Election - 2015

Grande Prairie-Mackenzie


Prediction Changed
2015-03-23 23:02:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Friesen, James David

Johnston, Reagan

Mossagizi, Saba

Thompson, Dylan

Warkentin, Chris


Population/populations
(2011 census)

106738


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

2576376.12%
521215.40%
10763.18%
12713.76%
Other 5251.55%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Peace River
   (200/200 polls, 100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Chris Warkentin
25763
5212
1076
1271
Other525



 


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15 09 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
It does contain about half of Grant Notley's onetime provincial bastion and the boundaries extend all the way to the NWT--though curiously, due to quirks of electoral math the Orange Chinook eluded Grande Prairie proper. And on that last note, just colour this turf blue once again.
15 03 23 JW
99.232.118.35
While a selected few (very few, if any) ridings in Edmonton or even Calgary may end up being competitive at some point of the campaign, rural Alberta will continue to be solid Conservative territory. Remember, the last time rural Alberta returned a non-Conservative/PC/Reform/Alliance MP was 1968 (two that election, and one of them started with the Social Credits).



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