Election Prediction Project
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Canada Federal Election - 2015

Red Deer-Lacombe


Prediction Changed
2015-03-23 23:02:05
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Calkins, Blaine

Hart, Doug

Kuzyk, Les

Rock, Jeff


Population/populations
(2011 census)

113693


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

3145377.42%
580714.29%
14493.57%
19184.72%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Wetaskiwin
   (97/209 polls, 51.11% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Blaine Calkins
17816
2861
697
986


   Red Deer
   (112/209 polls, 48.89% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Earl Dreeshen
13637
2946
752
932



 


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15 09 29 A.S.
99.233.125.239
To everyone's surprise, the city of Red Deer--the erstwhile Bible Belt provincial political home to Stockwell Day--went 2-for-2 Notley last spring. Between that and the Hobbema/Maskwacis reserves to the north, this'd be the more 'NDP-friendly' of the present federal NDP Red Deer pair--but a *very* relatively-speaking kind of friendliness. Well, as a lunatic anti-CPC Godwin-violator might see it, Jim Keegstra-style Holocaust denial carries more resonance around these parts than Alex Johnstone-style Auschwitz ignorance ;-)
15 03 23 JW
99.232.118.35
While a selected few (very few, if any) ridings in Edmonton or even Calgary may end up being competitive at some point of the campaign, rural Alberta will continue to be solid Conservative territory. Remember, the last time rural Alberta returned a non-Conservative/PC/Reform/Alliance MP was 1968 (two that election, and one of them started with the Social Credits).



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