Election Prediction Project
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Canada Federal Election - 2015

Chilliwack-Hope


Prediction Changed
2015-03-16 22:45:45
 


 
Constituency Profile

Candidates:

Cheney, Thomas

De Jaeger, Louis

Johnson, Alexander

MacPherson, Seonaigh

O'Donnell, Dorothy-Jean

Strahl, Mark


Population/populations
(2011 census)

92734


2011 Result/résultats (redistributed)

2274859.57%
897323.50%
427311.19%
19235.04%
Other 2760.72%
Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2013 Rep)

Component Riding(s)
Circonscription(s) constituant


   Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon
   (168/168 polls, 100.00% of voters in new riding)
   2011/2008/2004 Predictions
   Reference - Pundits’ Guide (2003 Rep Order)

    Incumbent:
Mark Strahl
22748
8973
4273
1923
Other276



 


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15 10 07 A.S.
99.233.125.239
Actually, Chilliwack-Hope isn't *quite* as BibleBelty as some of its further-west Fraser Valley counterparts (Hope, in particular, has historically had more of a 'gateway to the BC interior' NDP lean); and let's not forget the provincial NDP's fleeting-glory byelection win here in 2012 (handily 'corrected' in the 2013 general). But federally, the NDP's time here was far more 60s/70s than now. And, yeah--as others have pointed out, the name 'Strahl'. No contest.
15 10 04 Craig Hubley
71.7.138.94
I was forced to choke on my 'so blue they drink drain cleaner' predictions in New Brunswick. However, if people here were not outraged by Chuck Strahl literally selling spy data on protesters to his boss Enbridge, and would allow a Strahl to be nominated (even if no relation), that says it all. Despite it's name this one's hopeless.
Hey, when even the Greens have to run a Cheney... ;-)
15 04 01 Dr. Bear
70.50.94.209
With the Strahl family name on the blue lawn signs, this will go very easily to the CPC.
15 03 16 JW
99.232.118.35
Heart of BC's bible belt. Would be apocalyptic (no pun intended) if the Conservatives lose this one.



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