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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017

Nelson-Creston


Prediction Changed
2017-01-21 18:19:11
 



Constituency Profile

Candidates:

 

Charlesworth, Kim

Mungall, Michelle

O'Leary, Jesse

Prior, Tom

Wall, Tanya Rae

Incumbent:
Nelson-Creston
Michelle Mungall

Reference:
Population (2014):36907
Deviation from average:-30.50%
Geographical Area:13212 sq km
2013 Election Result
Nelson-Creston
Michelle Mungall*
820050.73%
Greg Garbula
457728.32%
Sjeng Derkx
338720.95%
Previous Prediction - 2013 Provincial Election
Previous Prediction - 2009 Provincial Election


 

17 03 10 South Islander
207.6.126.250
The Greens did surprisingly well here in 2013. Still, the NDP won by 22% and with a majority of the vote despite a poor performance in the interior. If the NDP collapses to the benefit of the Greens (much like the LPC collapse to the benefit of the NDP federally in 2011), this could go Green. But for now, this looks like an easy NDP hold.
17 01 17 Pundit79
50.64.158.173
Michelle Mungall will once again win this traditional BCNDP with no trouble.



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British Columbia Provincial Election - 2017
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